Virginia vs. NC State odds, prediction: 2026 college basketball picks for Jan. 3 from proven model
SportsLine's model simulated North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. UVA Cavaliers on Saturday morning

The Saturday college basketball schedule tips early as the NC State Wolfpack host the No. 21 Virginia Cavaliers. UVA is 11-2 on the season, though the Cavaliers did lose their ACC opener to rival Virginia Tech in triple overtime on New Year's Eve. NC State is 10-4 and coming off a win over Wake Forest in its conference opener.
Tipoff from the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, N.C, is set for 11 a.m. ET. NC State is a 4.5-point favorite in the latest NC State vs. Virginia odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 153.5. Before making any Virginia vs. NC State picks, check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
New users can target the DraftKings promo code, which offers $200 in bonus bets if your $5+ bet wins:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and it enters Week 9 on a sizzling 7-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks. Anyone following its college basketball betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.
Now, the model has simulated NC State vs. UVA 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted men's college basketball picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several men's college basketball odds and men's college basketball betting lines for UVA vs. North Carolina State:
NC State vs. Virginia spread: | NC State -4.5 |
NC State vs. Virginia over/under: | 153.5 points |
NC State vs. Virginia money line: | NC State -199, UVA +165 |
NC State vs. Virginia picks: | |
NC State vs. Virginia streaming: | Fubo (Try for free) |
New users can check out the latest bet365 bonus code to get $150 in bonus bets after placing a $5 bet:
How to make Virginia vs. NC State picks
SportsLine's model is going Under on the total (153.5 points). NC State has seen five of its past seven games go Under the total, including its ACC opener against Wake Forest. That game saw just 127 combined points as the Under cleared with more than 30 points to spare.
Two of the past three UVA games have gone Under the total as well. The Cavaliers give up just 68.7 points per game and have strong rebounding and blocked shot numbers, so they should be able to put up some resistance on the road against NC State's high-flying offense. The model is projecting 153 combined points, making the Under the slight value side.
The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins NC State vs. Virginia, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that has simulated this game 10,000 times, and find out.
















