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The 2025 Mountain West Championship Game will pit the Boise State Broncos against the UNLV Rebels for the third straight year on Friday. Spencer Danielson's Boise State (8-4, 6-2 Mountain West) squad won the first two and is going for an unprecedented Mountain West three-peat, which will take place at its home stadium as the higher seed. UNLV (10-2, 6-2), led by head coach Dan Mullen, is seeking its first MWC Title and second overall conference championship. The Broncos prevailed, 56-31, when these teams met in Boise in mid-October.

Kickoff is at 8 p.m. ET from Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. The latest UNLV vs. Boise State odds have the Broncos favored by 4.5 points, while the over/under for total points is 58.5. Before making any Boise State vs. UNLV picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

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The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is profitable on its top-rated money-line and over/under picks since the beginning of the 2024 season. Anybody following its college football betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UNLV vs. Boise State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for Boise State vs. UNLV:

UNLV vs. Boise State spread

Boise State -4.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook

UNLV vs. Boise State over/under

58.5 points

UNLV vs. Boise State money line 

Boise State -214, UNLV +177

UNLV vs. Boise State picks

See picks at SportsLine

UNLV vs. Boise State streaming 

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How to make Boise State vs. UNLV picks

SportsLine's model has simulated UNLV vs. Boise State 10,000 times and is going Over 58.5 total points. The October meeting between these teams saw 87 total points go on the scoreboard as the 56 points by Boise were its season high. The game had over 1,000 total yards of offense and featured 21 plays of 20-plus yards. One shouldn't expect any less potency in Friday's title game, which is occurring at the same stadium, and where the Over is 5-1 for the Broncos this season.

Meanwhile, UNLV has seen its games average 65.3 total points this year, as the Rebels rank 12th in the nation in scoring offense but rank 89th in scoring defense. The model projects eight different players to rack up 50-plus scrimmage yards, while the respective quarterbacks combine for over 500 yards of total offense. Another high-scoring affair is in order as the advanced model forecasts 66 total points in this contest. The Over hits well over 60% of the time per the model's simulations.

The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.   

So who wins UNLV vs. Boise State, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Boise State vs. UNLV spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is profitable on its top-rated money-line and over/under picks since the beginning of the 2024 season, and find out.