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Bowling Green (2-6) is hoping to spoil whatever chance Buffalo (4-4) has to make a run at the top of the MAC East division when the two play on Saturday. The Bulls are a game behind Kent State and Miami of Ohio, both of which have 3-1 conference records, while the Falcons are 0-4 and all but out of the chase. Bowling Green has lost four consecutive games, while Buffalo has put together back-to-back wins over the last two weeks.

Kickoff is set for noon ET at UB Stadium, where Buffalo is 2-2 at home. The Bulls are favored by 13.5 points in the latest Buffalo vs. Bowling Green odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 51.5. Before entering any Bowling Green vs. Buffalo picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on a 26-11 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Buffalo vs. Bowling Green. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Bowling Green vs. Buffalo:

  • Buffalo vs. Bowling Green spread: Buffalo -13.5
  • Buffalo vs. Bowling Green over-under: 51.5 points
  • Buffalo vs. Bowling Green money line: BUFF -600, BGSU +425

What you need to know about Buffalo

Buffalo finally had the breakout game that it was looking for last week, when it pummeled Akron, 45-10. The final score was set after the third quarter, and both teams just played out the fourth. Bulls QB Kyle Vantrease was on fire, passing for three touchdowns and 241 yards, and he also added a rushing touchdown.

The game was Vantrease's third-highest passing total in his career -- the second came the week before against Ohio -- and just the second time he had ever thrown for three touchdowns in a single game. Buffalo's top running back, Kevin Marks, had missed the last two games with a lower-leg injury, but is expected to be back this weekend. In his place, redshirt junior Dylan McDuffie has filled in nicely, and had 254 yards and two touchdowns over the last two games.

What you need to know about Bowling Green

Things continued to get worse for Bowling Green last week after a 55-24 loss to Eastern Michigan. The Falcons haven't resembled the team that upset Minnesota at the end of September. Matt McDonald threw for 223 yards, but only completed 57 percent of his passes and threw an interception.

Buffalo obviously has a solid rushing attack, but the Bulls haven't been so great at stopping the run this season. The Bulls' defense has been the 20th-worst in FBS at stopping the run, but Bowling Green has had the third-worst ground game this season, and averages just 79.25 rushing yards per game. The issues on Bowling Green's offensive line extend to its passing game as well, and the Falcons are tied for the tenth-most sacks allowed in the nation, with 22.

How to make Buffalo vs. Bowling Green picks

The model is leaning under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

Who wins Buffalo vs. Bowling Green? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks