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The San Diego State Aztecs take on the New Mexico State Aggies at 10:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Dignity Health Sports Park. San Diego State is hoping to catch the Aggies on their heels after they lost their season-opener last Saturday to UTEP, 30-3. The Aztecs are also 4-0 against New Mexico State, dating back to 2009.

Things fell off for SDSU in Brady Hoke's first season after he took over for Rocky Long following his 10-3 campaign in 2019. The Aztecs are still heavy 31.5-point favorites in the latest San Diego State vs. New Mexico State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 51. Before entering any New Mexico State vs. San Diego State picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 1 of the 2021 season on a 57-37 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on San Diego State vs. New Mexico State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for San Diego State vs. New Mexico State:

  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico State spread: San Diego State -31.5
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico State over-under: 51 points

What to know about the San Diego State Aztecs 

Hoke didn't really establish a consistent passing attack last season and Carson Baker was replaced by Jordon Brookshire in the Aztecs 20-10 loss to Colorado on November 28. Brookshire remained the starter for the rest of the year and finished strong in his last game against BYU, where he completed 67 percent of his passes for 230 yards.

Brookshire returns as the starting quarterback this season, and is joined in the backfield by his two top rushers from 2020, redshirt seniors Greg Bell and Chance Bell. Defensively, the Aztecs bring back nearly their entire defensive front from 2020, which was one of the best run-stuffing units in all of college football. Linebacker Caden McDonald led the team in tackles for loss last season with 10, and returns for his redshirt senior season.

What to know about the New Mexico State Aggies

Due to COVID-19, New Mexico State only played two games in 2020. That may have been a blessing in disguise for head coach Doug Martin, who looks like he's in for another long season in Las Cruces. Against UTEP, the Aggies were only able to generate 190 yards of offense.

The Aggies played two quarterbacks last week against the Miners. Jonah Johnson, who completed just 33 percent of his passes for 82 yards, and Weston Eget, who went 1-for-9. Perhaps it's not fair to criticize the NMSU defense, which gave up 452 yards when the offense was so inept, but needless to say, there is a lot of work to be done on both sides of the ball. 

How to make San Diego State vs. New Mexico State picks

The model has simulated San Diego State vs. New Mexico State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins San Diego State vs. New Mexico State? And which side of the spread hits nearly 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks.