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A spot in the Kentucky Derby 2022 will be on the line when 11 three-year-olds leave the starting gate in the 2022 Rebel Stakes on Saturday at Oaklawn Park. The winner of the $1 million Rebel Stakes 2022 will receive 50 qualifying points towards the Kentucky Derby, all but guaranteeing himself a spot in the Run for the Roses on May 7. Trainer Bob Baffert will try to add to his record number of Rebel wins (eight) by a trainer when he sends out Newgrange, the 9-5 morning-line favorite in the 2022 Rebel Stakes odds. Newgrange, however, is not eligible to earn Derby qualification points because of Baffert being banned from the Derby. The John Ortiz-trained Barber Road is 9-2 in the 2022 Rebel Stakes lineup, while the Dallas Stewart-trained Ben Diesel is 6-1.

Post time for the $1 million Rebel Stakes 2022 is 6:22 p.m. ET. With a large field entering the starting gate on Saturday, you'll want to see what SportsLine racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Rebel Stakes picks.

A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir has studied the sequence and constructed his wagers in his analysis below. A two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas, Weir has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. 

Last year, he was on fire. He hit the exacta in the Sam F. Davis Stakes, Tampa Bay Derby and Peter Pan Stakes, the trifecta in the Risen Star Stakes, Blue Grass Stakes and Pennsylvania Derby and the superfecta in the Belmont Stakes. Last month, he nailed the trifecta in the Pegasus World Cup.

Now, he has handicapped the 2022 Rebel Stakes entries, made his picks and constructed his bets. You can only see them here.

Top 2022 Rebel Stakes predictions

One surprise: Weir's top pick is not Newgrange, even though he is the 9-5 favorite. A son of Violence, Newgrange already has two Grade 3 wins and two victories around two turns. He also has a win on this track in the Southwest Stakes four weeks ago.

But Weir was not impressed with how Newgrange struggled to put away the field in the Southwest. "The last race did not get the pulse racing," Weir told SportsLine.

How to make 2022 Rebel Stakes picks, bets

Weir's top pick is a long shot who is poised to make waves on Saturday, sending his backers to the pay window. Weir is including this horse in his 2022 Rebel Stakes bets, and so should you. He's sharing which horses to back only at SportsLine.

So what horse wins the Rebel Stakes 2022? What long shot is a must-back? And how has Weir constructed his wagers? Check out the latest Rebel Stakes odds 2022 below, then visit SportsLine to see Weir's picks for the Rebel Stakes, all from the expert who recently nailed the Pegasus World Cup trifecta.

2022 Rebel Stakes odds, contenders, horses, lineup

Post #HorseOddsProjection
1Kavod12-1SEE PICKS
2Newgrange9-5SEE PICKS
3Cairama15-1SEE PICKS
4Un Ojo12-1SEE PICKS
5Texas Red Hot12-1SEE PICKS
6Stellar Tap10-1SEE PICKS
7Ben Diesel6-1SEE PICKS
8Chasing Time8-1SEE PICKS
9Barber Road9-2SEE PICKS
10Ethereal Road12-1SEE PICKS
11Dash Attack8-1SEE PICKS