Free MLB home run picks, odds, lines for June 26: Jose Ramirez among best bets for Thursday HR player props
SportsLine's model is up 19.65 units on HR picks in the last 79 days. Use its MLB picks for MLB sportsbook promotions like MLB profit boosts
Power isn't necessarily the first thing that comes to mind when you're thinking of Guardians third baseman Jose Ramirez, but he's piled up 268 career home runs and has three seasons of 36 home runs or more. Ramirez is also one of the only switch-hitters in baseball with nearly indistinguishable splits, as he's posted a .858 career OPS against righties and a .857 OPS against lefties. He's also averaged 21.1 at-bats per home run against right-handers and 21.3 at-bats per home run against left-handers, so his power truly plays from both sides.
With +440 MLB home run odds from FanDuel Sportsbook today, where you can get $150 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins with this FanDuel promo code, Ramirez is one of our top MLB HR picks for Thursday. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB home run picks on betting sites.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It nailed Ronald Acuna (+350) and Ketel Marte (+380) to homer on Monday, and it's up 19.65 units on its MLB HR picks during the last 79 days. Now, the model and SportsLine's team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Thursday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.
Best MLB home run picks for Thursday, June 26:
- Jose Ramirez, Guardians (+440)
- Brent Rooker, Athletics (+400)
- Ronald Acuna Jr., Braves (+360)
- Parlay these picks for +11975 odds at BetMGM (odds subject to change)
Ronald Acuna Jr., Braves (+360)
Griffin Canning has started to come back to Earth after looking like a completely different pitcher earlier this season than he has during his career. Canning has allowed 13 earned runs over his last three starts. Meanwhile, Acuna continues to annihilate right-handed pitching since returning from a torn ACL last month.
"We are going back to Acuna for a second consecutive day because we still have value on him to hit a home run. Acuna didn't homer yesterday, but he did record two RBIs and reach base three times. He is hitting .437 with a 1.265 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season," SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner said. "We set the line at +330 for Acuna to homer." The best price for Acuna to homer comes from BetMGM, where you can also get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses with this BetMGM promo code.
Jose Ramirez, Guardians (+440)
The six-time all-star has been pretty well-established as one of the best all-around players in baseball since a breakthrough season in 2016, and his reliability is something you can set your watch by. So when his MLB HR odds creep into this territory, it's worth noting that some matchup subtleties allow us to take advantage of the price.
"Ramirez has 11 of his 13 home runs this season against RHPs. Kevin Gausman has struggled over his last two starts and has allowed three HRs in his last two starts. Gausman has a .904 OPS allowed in four starts in June so far, so despite Ramirez batting just 4-for-23 against him in his career, this could be the game where he turns things around given Gausman's recent struggles," Fetner said. The model sets the line for Ramirez to homer at +340, so you're getting exceptional value here from FanDuel.
Brent Rooker, Athletics (+400)
Rooker's 16 home runs have him on pace for a third consecutive 30-homer season, and his 85 home runs since the start of 2023 are the ninth-most in baseball. He'll match up with lefty Dietrich Enns on Thursday, and this will be the first MLB appearance for the 34-year-old lefty in four years. Rooker presents a particularly difficult matchup, as he hammers left-handed pitching.
"Brent Rooker crushes left-handed pitchers and has a 1.083 OPS against lefties this season," Fetner said. "Rooker's average line is +338, so getting +400 is a strong price. We set the line at +300 for Rooker to homer." It's BetMGM offering the best price for this MLB HR prop.
Where to bet MLB props on Thursday
Here is a look at sportsbooks that will offer MLB player props on Thursday:
| Sportsbook | Bonus offer | Promo code |
|---|---|---|
Bet $1, double your winnings next 10 bets | CBSDYW | |
BetMGM | Up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses | CBSSPORTS |
FanDuel | Bet $5, Get $150 in bonus bets if your first bet wins | No code required |
Bet $5, Get $150 in bonus bets instantly | No code required | |
Bet and get up to $1,000 in No Sweat Bets | No code required | |
Bet $5, Get $150 in bonus bets win or lose | CBSBET365 |
More MLB picks for Thursday
You've seen the model's MLB HR prop picks for several players on Thursday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? SportsLine's Bruce Marshall is also 23-17-1 (+834) over his last 41 MLB picks, and he already has locked in a pick for Thursday.
