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The Arizona Diamondbacks aim to bounce back on Saturday afternoon in a challenging road matchup. Arizona lost to the New York Mets in the series opener between the teams on Friday at Citi Field. That loss dropped the Diamondbacks to 2-5 on the young season. New York is off to a strong 6-2 start, including three consecutive wins.

Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as the -160 money-line favorite (risk $160 to win $100) for this 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch that leads off the Saturday MLB schedule. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is eight in the latest Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds. Before making any Diamondbacks vs. Mets picks, you need to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters Week 2 of the 2022 season on a 216-181 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks that dates back to last season, returning over $900 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Mets vs. Diamondbacks, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the MLB odds and trends for Diamondbacks vs. Mets:

  • Mets vs. Diamondbacks money line: Mets -160, Diamondbacks +140
  • Mets vs. Diamondbacks over-under: 8 runs
  • Mets vs. Diamondbacks run line: Mets -1.5 (+125)
  • AZ: The Diamondbacks are 19-59 in the last 78 games as a road underdogs
  • NYM: The Mets are 40-21 in the last 61 games as home favorites

Why you should back the Diamondbacks

Even in the midst of a tough season in 2021, the Diamondbacks led the American League in doubles and finished in the top three in triples. Arizona can also take solace in a strong starting pitching option in this particular contest. Right-hander Zac Gallen takes the ball for the Diamondbacks, and he boasts a career 3.46 ERA across 273.1 innings of work. Gallen is a prolific strikeout artist, producing 10.44 strikeouts per nine innings for his career, and he has a stellar 3.18 ERA in three career starts against the Mets. 

Right-handers also struggle against Gallen to the tune of a .212 batting average and a .298 on-base percentage over his career. New York's offense projects to be improved in 2022, but the Mets finished dead-last in the National League in hits in 2021. The Mets also ranked in the bottom three of the NL in runs scored, doubles, triples, stolen bases and total bases last season.

Why you should back the Mets

The Mets are in a favorable position, not only due to home-field advantage but also due to the team's pitching matchup. New York is sending Carlos Carrasco to the mound to begin the afternoon, and the 35-year-old right-hander was stellar in his first outing of 2022. Carrasco allowed only one earned run in 5.2 innings, scattering two hits and generating five strikeouts. Since the start of the 2014 season, Carrasco sports a stellar 3.53 ERA across more than 1,000 innings. 

In addition, Carrasco is particularly devastating against right-handed batters, using the platoon advantage to allow only a .693 OPS over his entire career. Arizona projects to be improved from last season but, in looking back to the 2021 campaign, the Diamondbacks ranked in the bottom three of the National League in myriad categories. That includes home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS and stolen bases, with New York deploying a strong overall pitching staff. 

How to make Diamondbacks vs. Mets picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the run total, as the simulation suggests the teams will combine for 9.8 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Mets vs. Diamondbacks? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.