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The Atlanta Braves (47-26) will wrap up their rain-shortened series with the Philadelphia Phillies (38-35) on Thursday afternoon. Atlanta opened the series with a 4-2 win on Tuesday, extending its winning streak to seven games. The second game of the series was rained out on Wednesday, getting rescheduled as part of a day-night doubleheader in September. The Braves are sitting atop the National League East standings, leading Miami by six games and Philadelphia by nine games. 

First pitch at Citizens Bank Park is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Philadelphia is a -120 favorite (risk $120 to win $100), with Atlanta as the +100 underdog. The over/under is 8.5 in the latest Braves vs. Phillies odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before making any Phillies vs. Braves picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It has opened the 2023 MLB season on a 35-26 roll on all-top rated MLB picks. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.   

Now, the model has set its sights on Phillies vs. Braves and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Braves vs. Phillies:

  • Braves vs. Phillies money line: Braves +100, Phillies -120
  • Braves vs. Phillies run line: Braves -1.5 (+150)
  • Braves vs. Phillies over/under: 8.5 runs
  • ATL: The Braves are 7-0 in their last seven games
  • PHI: The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. National League teams
  • Braves vs. Phillies picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Phillies

Atlanta has been making headlines as one of the hottest teams in the majors, but Philadelpha is quietly playing its best baseball of the season as well. The Phillies had won six consecutive games prior to Tuesday's loss, making a run at Miami for second place in the division standings. They have also won seven of their last 10 games against National League opponents. 

Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has plenty of experience facing the Braves during his career, going 15-10 with a 3.51 ERA. He has faced Atlanta more than any other team, so he will not be intimidated on Thursday afternoon. The Phillies had 11 hits in the series opener but were ultimately doomed by a 1 of 12 mark with runners in scoring position, leaving eight men on base. See which team to back here.

Why you should back the Braves

The Braves are dominating the division right now, sitting at least six games ahead of every other team in the standings. They have rattled off a seven-game winning streak, scoring eight-plus runs in five of those victories. Right-hander Bryce Elder is getting set to face Philadelphia for the first time in his career, bringing a 5-1 record and a 2.60 ERA into this appearance. 

Elder was outstanding against Colorado his last time out, throwing six innings of one-run baseball while striking out four batters. Matt Olson and Austin Riley each hit home runs for Atlanta on Tuesday, giving Riley his first homer since June 8. Meanwhile, Olson has eight long balls in 51 career at-bats at Citizens Bank Park. See which team to back here.

How to make Phillies vs. Braves picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 10.3 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Braves vs. Phillies, and which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 35-26 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.