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We're four races into the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series season and defending champion Austin Cindric sits atop the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series standings courtesy of four consecutive top-five finishes to start the season. Now Cindric will turn his attention to Phoenix Raceway for the 2021 Call 811 Before You Dig 200 on Saturday. When the green flag drops at 5:30 p.m. ET, Cindric will sit in third position in the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix starting grid thanks to a competition-based formula used to replace qualifying during the coronavirus pandemic.

Cindric won the 2020 Desert Diamond Casino West Valley 200 on the one-mile asphalt oval last season and is currently listed as a 5-2 co-favorite along with Justin Allgaier in the NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Meanwhile, Noah Gragson (7-1), AJ Allmendinger (8-1) and Harrison Burton (17-2) are all near the top of the 2021 Call 811 Before You Dig 200 odds board as well. Before making any 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix predictions, be sure to see the latest 2021 Call 811 Before You Dig 200 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model. 

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

The model began the 2021 Xfinity Series schedule by nailing Austin Cindric's win at Daytona at 10-1. Anybody who followed that pick saw huge returns. 

Now, his model simulated the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix race 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected leaderboard.

Top 2021 Call 811 Before You Dig 200 predictions 

One surprise: The model is high on Justin Haley, even though he's a 20-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Thus far, the 21-year-old's biggest claim to fame as a stock car racer has been his stunning win at the 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400 as a 20-year-old.

However, Haley continued to prove that he has star potential by winning three times and finishing third in the 2020 NASCAR Xfinity Series standings. In four career Xfinity Series starts at Phoenix Raceway, Haley has recorded three top-10 finishes and his worst finish was a 12th in his rookie season. Haley will start fifth on Saturday and he's a good bet to make his way towards the front in the 2021 Call 811 Before You Dig 200.

And a massive shocker: AJ Allmendinger, one of the Vegas favorites at 8-1, stumbles big time and doesn't even crack the top five. There are far better values in this field. The former NASCAR Cup Series veteran has driven a part-time schedule in the Xfinity Series the last couple years but he's started all four races in 2021 and is coming off a win last week at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

However, Allmendinger only managed two top-10 finishes at Phoenix Raceway in 19 career NASCAR Cup Series starts there and finished outside the top 10 in both of his two prior Xfinity Series starts there as well. Racing a full-time schedule for the first time in years will mean that Allmendinger has a lot of adjustments to make on tracks that have been out of his rotation and Phoenix is too big of an unknown for him at 8-1.

How to make 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix picks

The model is also targeting four other drivers with NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix odds of 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all the NASCAR Xfinity Series picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the 2021 Call 811 Before You Dig 200? And which long shots stun the NASCAR Xfinity Series? Check out the latest odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard, all from the model that nailed Cindric's season-opening win. 

2021 Call 811 Before You Dig 200 odds (via William Hill)

Austin Cindric 5-2
Justin Allgaier 5-2
Noah Gragson 7-1
AJ Allmendinger 8-1
Harrison Burton 17-2
Ty Gibbs 10-1
Daniel Hemric 10-1
Brandon Jones 12-1
Justin Haley 20-1
Jeb Burton 50-1
Michael Annett 50-1
Myatt Snider 60-1
Field 60-1
Riley Herbst 60-1
Josh Berry 75-1
Brett Moffitt 75-1
Ryan Sieg 125-1
Jeremy Clements 500-1
Brandon Brown 500-1
Santino Ferrucci 1000-1
Gray Gaulding 1000-1
Timmy Hill 2000-1
JJ Yeley 2000-1
Joe Graf Jr. 2000-1