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Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and the Golden State Warriors will aim to continue their improved performance on Wednesday evening. After a slow start, the Warriors are 4-1 in the last five games, headlined by a 62-point explosion from Curry over the weekend. In this matchup, Golden State welcomes the Los Angeles Clippers to San Francisco, with the visitors on the second night of a back-to-back. The Warriors will be without Klay Thompson (Achilles), Marquese Chriss (fibula) and Alen Smailagic (knee) in this game. With the back-to-back logistics, the Clippers do not have a formal injury report, though Marcus Morris (knee) remains out and Paul George (ankle) missed Tuesday's game as a late scratch.

Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET at the Chase Center. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Clippers as 2.5-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 230 in the latest Clippers vs. Warriors odds. Before you make any Warriors vs. Clippers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Dating back to last season, it is on a stunning 65-36 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Clippers vs. Warriors. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and betting trends for Warriors vs. Clippers:

  • Warriors vs. Clippers spread: Clippers -2.5
  • Warriors vs. Clippers over-under: 230
  • Warriors vs. Clippers money line: Clippers -140, Warriors +120
  • GSW: The Warriors are 3-4 against the spread this season
  • LAC: The Clippers are 5-3 against the spread in 2020-21

Why the Warriors can cover

The Warriors have a few offensive strengths to build on in this matchup. Golden State ranks in the top five of the NBA in free throw creation rate, putting pressure on the rim and increasing efficiency by utilizing the charity stripe. The Warriors are also an above-average unit in protecting the ball, committing a turnover on only 14.0 percent of possessions to this point. 

While it is early, the Clippers have also struggled defensively, landing in the bottom third in several major categories, and the Warriors are scoring 1.15 points per possession in their last five games. Curry is the biggest reason for Golden State's offensive explosiveness, averaging 32.0 points per game, but the return of Green also helps the Warriors on both ends of the floor.

Why the Clippers can cover 

The Clippers are an elite offensive team by any description, landing near the top of the league in efficiency last season and scoring more than 1.19 points per possession to begin 2020-21. Los Angeles has a strong effective field goal percentage (57.2 percent), and the Clippers are a top-five team in ball security, turning the ball over on only 13.6 percent of possessions. The Warriors have also been a below-average defensive team, giving up 1.13 points per possession, and Golden State is poor on the defensive glass. 

Steve Kerr's team is also dead-last in the NBA in free throw rate allowed, which could help the Clippers in getting to the charity stripe regularly. Defensively, the Clippers should be able to close possessions effectively, as the Warriors are one of the league's worst offensive rebounding teams, pulling down only 21.3 percent of their own missed shots.

How to make Clippers vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with 13 players projected to score in double figures. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70 percent of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Clippers? And which side of the spread cashes in nearly 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Clippers vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.