Knicks vs. Heat odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA picks, March 3 predictions from proven computer model
SportsLine's model just revealed its NBA picks for Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks

The New York Knicks will try to extend their seven-game winning streak when they face the Miami Heat on Friday night. New York has used its hot streak to move into fifth place in the Eastern Conference standings, sitting 1.5 games behind Cleveland for fourth place. Miami has been trending in the opposite direction, losing five of its last six games to fall to seventh place in the East.
Tipoff is set for 8 p.m. ET. New York is favored by 3 points in the latest Heat vs. Knicks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 216. Before entering any Knicks vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 57-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,300. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Knicks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Knicks:
- Heat vs. Knicks spread: Heat +3
- Heat vs. Knicks over/under: 216 points
- Heat vs. Knicks money line: Miami +122, New York -145
- Heat vs. Knicks picks: See picks here
Why the Heat can cover
Outside of losses to two of the top teams in the NBA (Denver and Philadelphia), the Heat have been on the road for the rest of their current losing stretch. They have been much better at home this season, going 19-11 in their 30 games at Miami-Dade Arena. Miami has gone 8-2 in its most recent 10 home games, and it recently added five-time All-Star Kevin Love along with backup Cody Zeller from the buyout market.
Leading scorer Jimmy Butler is questionable to play on Friday night due to right knee soreness, which could lead to more playing time for Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson and Max Strus. Fifth-year center Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.2 points and 9.8 rebounds per game, while Tyler Herro is adding 20.3 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists. The Heat have won nine of the last 12 meetings between these teams, covering the spread in eight of them.
Why the Knicks can cover
New York has been in the headlines over the past few weeks, winning seven straight games since acquiring Josh Hart. The Knicks blew out Brooklyn in a 142-118 final on Wednesday night, as point guard Jalen Brunson poured in a game-high 39 points, with 30 of them coming in the first half. He went 15-of-18 from the floor, including 5-of-6 from 3-point range, to go along with six assists and five rebounds.
Hart has averaged 12.4 points, 5.1 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 1.3 steals in his seven games with the Knicks. He has provided some support for Brunson and leading scorer Julius Randle, who is averaging 25.0 points and 10.5 rebounds per game. The Knicks have covered the spread in 15 of their last 20 road games and have covered in all seven games during their current winning streak.
How to make Knicks vs. Heat picks
The model has simulated Heat vs. Knicks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Knicks vs. Heat? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Heat vs. Knicks spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.















