The Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the Portland Trail Blazers in Game 3 of their Western Conference series on Friday, but the Blazers still hold a 2-1 advantage in the NBA Playoffs 2019 as the teams meet again at Chesapeake Energy Arena for Game 4. Sunday's tipoff is at 9:30 p.m. ET. Despite Friday's loss, Damian Lillard and the Blazers have still won 13 of their last 16 games. Russell Westbrook and OKC are hot, too, having won five in a row to end the regular season before dropping the opening two games in Portland. Oklahoma City is favored by 5.5 in the latest Blazers vs. Thunder odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 222. Before locking in any Blazers vs. Thunder picks or any NBA predictions for Sunday, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying. 

The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is crushing its NBA picks. It entered Week 27 of the 2018-19 NBA season with a sterling 294-242 record on all top-rated picks, returning more than $3,500 in profit to anybody following them. And it has been particularly red-hot on its A-rated NBA picks against the spread, entering Week 27 on a strong 77-62 run. Anybody who has followed it is way up.

Now it has locked in on Thunder vs. Blazers. We can tell you it's leaning over, and it's also generated an extremely strong against the spread pick that hits in more than 60 percent of simulations. You can only see it at SportsLine.

The model takes into account how OKC's shot straightened out after a pair of horrid efforts in the two losses at Portland. After going 10-of-61 on threes (16.4 percent) in the two losses, the Thunder returned home and lit the net on fire, going 15-of-29 (51.7 percent). Westbrook found his own shot and out-dueled Lillard in OKC as well, with 33 points and 11 assists.

OKC covered the spread in five of the seven matchups with Portland this season. The Thunder have also covered four home games in a row, while the Blazers are just 1-4 against the number in their last five on the road.

But just because Oklahoma City is back home on Sunday and Westbrook is heating up doesn't mean it'll cover the Thunder vs. Blazers spread in the NBA Playoffs 2019. 

Lillard was nearly as impressive as Westbrook in Game 3, scoring 32 points with six assists. He logged 25 of his points in the third quarter.

Portland is by no means a one-man show. CJ McCollum is averaging 26 points, seven rebounds and five assists in this series, while Enes Kanter has been a much-needed presence in the post, producing 15 points and 9.3 rebounds per game. The defense was a letdown in Game 3, but held the Thunder to just 99 and 94 points in the opening two games.

Who wins Game 4 of Blazers vs. Thunder? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Blazers vs. Thunder spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model that's up more than $3,500 on top-rated NBA picks this season.