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The Indiana Pacers (35-28) will play their first home game of the month when they host the Western Conference-leading Minnesota Timberwolves (43-19) on Thursday night. Indiana bounced back from a two-game losing streak with a 137-120 win at Dallas on Tuesday, moving within a half-game of Philadelphia for seventh place in the Eastern Conference standings. The Pacers are also just one game behind Miami for sixth place, which avoids the play-in tournament. Minnesota snapped a two-game skid of its own with a 119-114 win against Portland on Monday to stay tied with Oklahoma City atop the West. 

Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Indiana is favored by 1.5 points in the latest Pacers vs. Timberwolves odds, while the over/under is 228 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Timberwolves vs. Pacers picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 64-40 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Minnesota vs. Indiana. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Timberwolves vs. Pacers:

  • Pacers vs. Timberwolves spread: Pacers -1.5
  • Pacers vs. Timberwolves over/under: 228 points
  • Pacers vs. Timberwolves money line: Pacers: -120, Timberwolves: +100
  • Pacers vs. Timberwolves picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Pacers can cover

Indiana is coming off one of its most impressive wins of the season, cruising to a 137-120 win at Dallas as a 5.5-point road underdog. Power forward Pascal Siakam had 13 points, 13 rebounds and six assists in a double-double effort, while center Myles Turner had a team-high 20 points. The Pacers had nine players finish in double digits, including five players off the bench. 

Minnesota is going to be without All-Star Karl-Anthony Towns, who has been ruled out indefinitely with a meniscus injury. Towns had 40 points and 12 rebounds in a win over Indiana on Dec. 16, so the Pacers will be happy to face Minnesota without him. The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in five consecutive games, and they are 3-6 against the spread in their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents. See which team to pick here.

Why the Timberwolves can cover

Minnesota has dominated this head-to-head series over the past few seasons, winning five straight meetings. The Timberwolves have covered the spread in four of those five victories, including their 127-109 win in December. They are also in good form overall right now, winning eight of their last 11 games to remain atop the Western Conference standings. 

Center Rudy Gobert had 25 points and 16 rebounds in a win over Portland on Monday, shooting 9 of 10 from the floor. Shooting guard Anthony Edwards leads Minnesota with 26.1 points, 5.2 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game, scoring 34 points in back-to-back games at the end of February. Indiana is dealing with a key injury of its own, as fourth-leading scorer Bennedict Mathurin is sidelined due to a right shoulder sprain. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Pacers vs. Timberwolves picks

The model has simulated Wolves vs. Pacers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick where one side has all of the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Pacers vs. Wolves, and which side of the spread has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Timberwolves vs. Pacers spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 64-40 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.