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The Dallas Mavericks (12-14) hope to extend their recent domination of their series with the New Orleans Pelicans (11-13) when the teams collide on Friday at Dallas' American Airlines Center. The Mavericks swept all four matchups against the Pelicans last season and averaged 124.5 points in the process. Both teams have won four of five and are within striking distance of first place in the Southwest Division despite sitting two games under .500.

Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET at American Airlines Arena. William Hill Sportsbook lists Dallas as a three-point favorite while the over-under is 232.5 in the latest Mavericks vs. Pelicans odds. Before locking in any Pelicans vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up more than $8,300 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 8 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 79-46 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Pelicans vs. Mavs. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Mavs vs. Pelicans:

  • Mavericks vs. Pelicans spread: Mavericks -3
  • Mavericks vs. Pelicans over-under: 232.5 points
  • Mavericks vs. Pelicans money line: Mavericks -145, Pelicans +125
  • DAL: The Mavericks are committing the third-fewest turnovers at 11.7 per game
  • NO: The Pelicans have allowed at least 18 3-pointers in eight games this season

Why the Mavericks can cover

While Luka Doncic is among the league leaders in scoring and assists, he is receiving ample support from his supporting cast. Center Kristaps Porzingis, who did not make his season debut until Jan. 13 while recuperating from knee surgery, has registered four double-doubles in his last six games. He has scored at least 24 points in three of the past six to raise his season average to 19.7.

The Mavericks have shown plenty in reserve over the past two games, getting 51 points from the bench in Wednesday's win and 44 two nights earlier. Guard Tim Hardaway Jr. sparked the reserves with 40 points in the two wins, scoring 13 of his 16 points in the fourth quarter of Wednesday's one-point win over Atlanta. Center Willie Cauley-Stein returned from a two-game benching with 14 points and six rebounds Wednesday.

Why the Pelicans can cover

New Orleans features a potent 1-2 offensive punch in the forward tandem of Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram, who lead the team in scoring at 23.8 and 23.7 points, respectively. Williamson has been on a tear over the last five games, averaging 24.8 points while shooting a blistering 67.6 percent from the floor. He has faced the Mavericks only once in his career, scoring 21 points 11 months ago.

Ingram has scored at least 20 points for six games in a row and is averaging 23.8 points, 6.2 rebounds and 4.2 assists in February. Point guard Lonzo Ball is also in the midst of his best stretch, scoring in double figures in a season-high six straight games. Over his past five contests, Ball is averaging 18.0 points, 6.6 rebounds and 4.2 assists while 52.6 percent from 3-point range (20 of 38).

How to make Mavericks vs. Pelicans picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with the simulations projecting 231 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Pelicans? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.