The Rockets knocked out the Timberwolves in five games and now tip off Sunday against the Jazz in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals at 3:30 p.m. ET.

This game opened with the Rockets favored by 8.5, but the line has since moved up three to 11.5. The Over-Under -- total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored -- is 207.

Before choosing a side, you need to read what SportsLine data scientist Stephen Oh, who has nailed 18 of his last 28 against the spread picks involving the Rockets, has to say. 

A week ago in Game 3, Oh told SportsLine members to grab the Timberwolves +5 against Houston, pointing out that Minnesota plays tough at home and had covered five of its previous six games. The result: Minnesota won outright in an upset, giving Oh another easy cash.

Now, Oh -- who specializes in advanced statistical analyses -- has examined every matchup, every player and every trend for Utah vs. Houston and locked in his confident against-the-spread pick for Game 1. 

Oh knows that with Ricky Rubio unlikely to play on Sunday, the Rockets will cover the spread by focusing their defensive attention on Donovan Mitchell, who scored 38 of Utah's 96 points in their series-clinching victory on Friday over Oklahoma City.

But the Jazz can cover the spread -- or win outright -- if they can play straight-up defense against James Harden and Chris Paul without having to double, and if Joe Ingles can continue knocking down threes at his current postseason rate of 47 percent. 

Oh's statistical analysis tells him the line in this game is way off. He's sharing why, and which team to back, only at SportsLine.

So what side of Jazz-Rockets do you need to be all over? Visit SportsLine now to see the strong point-spread selection, and see why the spread is way off, all from a data scientist who is 18-10 on picks involving the Rockets.