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The San Antonio Spurs (3-8) host the Sacramento Kings (6-4) in a Western Conference battle on Friday night as part of the 2023 NBA In-Season Tournament. The Spurs have dominated the series throughout history, logging a 126-65 record over Sacramento. Despite that, the Kings have won five of the last six games. Devin Vassell (adductor) and Tre Jones (hamstring) are out for San Antonio 

Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Sacramento is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest Kings vs. Spurs odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 238. Before making any Spurs vs. Kings picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons. The model enters Week 4 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a 80-43 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Spurs vs. Kings and locked in its NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Kings vs. Spurs:

  • Spurs vs. Kings spread: Sacramento -8.5
  • Spurs vs. Kings over/under: 238 points
  • Spurs vs. Kings money line: Sacramento -347, San Antonio +271
  • Sacramento: Hit the 4Q game total Under in 49 of their last 78 games
  • San Antonio: Hit the game total Over in 47 of their last 68 games
  • Spurs vs. Kings picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Kings can cover

Forward Keegan Murray is a scoring threat in the frontcourt. Murray has a solid jumper with the skillset to get into the lane consistently. The Iowa product is averaging 14.4 points and 6.8 rebounds per game. He has dropped at least 24 points in two of his last three games. On Nov. 13 versus the Cleveland Cavaliers, Murray had 25 points, eight rebounds and went 5 of 8 from beyond the arc. 

Guard Kevin Huerter is a sharpshooter for Sacramento. Huerter has a quick release and knows how to create space without the ball. The Maryland product can also put the ball on the deck to get into the lane. Huerter is putting up 14 points, five rebounds and three assists per game. In his last game, he amassed 28 points, seven rebounds and made six 3-pointers. This was his third straight game with at least 20 points. See which team to pick here. 

Why the Spurs can cover

Rookie center Victor Wembanyama is making his presence felt very early in his career. Wembanyama has been a very skilled scorer with solid footwork. He can score at all three levels while also being a disruptive shot-blocker. Wembanyama leads the team in points (18.6), rebounds (9.3) and blocks (2.4). On Nov. 10 versus the Timberwolves, the 19-year-old tallied 29 points, nine boards and four blocks.

Forward Keldon Johnson has been a smooth shooter on the perimeter with a quick release. Johnson is a solid defender and plays with great anticipation in transition. The Kentucky product logged 15.3 points, 6.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. On Nov. 12, Johnson scored 20 points, 12 rebounds and six assists. See which team to pick here.

How to make Kings vs. Spurs picks

The model has simulated Spurs vs. Kings 10,000 times and is leaning Under, with the teams projected to score 233 points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can only see the picks at SportsLine

Who wins Spurs vs. Kings, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks, all from the model that is on a 80-43 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.