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The Cleveland Browns seek to move one step closer to clinching an AFC playoff berth as they host the Chicago Bears on Sunday. Cleveland (8-5) enters off a 31-27 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 14, while Chicago (5-8) has won two straight games, including a 28-13 win over the Detroit Lions last Sunday. Cleveland is 7-5-1 against the spread, while Chicago is 6-6-1 ATS in 2023.

Kickoff from Cleveland Browns Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. Cleveland is a 3-point favorite in the latest Browns vs. Bears odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 37.5. Before making any Bears vs. Browns picks of your own, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 176-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 30-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bears vs. Browns and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 15 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Browns vs. Bears:

  • Bears vs. Browns spread: Browns -3
  • Bears vs. Browns over/under: 37.5 points
  • Bears vs. Browns money line: Browns -149, Bears +125
  • Bears vs. Browns picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Bears vs. Browns live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Bears can cover

A major key to Chicago keeping the game close, if not securing the victory on Sunday is the play of quarterback Justin Fields. Since returning from a hand injury three games ago, Chicago is 2-1 and Fields has used his mobility to his and the team's advantage. The fleet-footed QB has rushed 42 times for 221 yards and a score in those games combined as well as having thrown for 609 yards and two touchdowns. 

Fields' main weapon in the passing game is wide receiver D.J. Moore, who has 76 receptions for 1,071 yards and seven touchdowns thus far this season. Having developed chemistry with his quarterbacks, Moore is well on pace to shatter his previous career high of 1,193 yards through the air which he achieved in 2020. See which team to pick here.

Why the Browns can cover

Cleveland signed former Super Bowl MVP quarterback Joe Flacco several weeks ago and in two games, he's performed above most reasonable expectations. In Sunday's victory over Jacksonville, Flacco completed 26 of 45 passes for 311 yards with three touchdown passes and one interception. With starter Deshaun Watson out for the season and rookie backup Dorian Thompson-Robinson still adjusting to the pro game, Flacco has the potential to carry Cleveland to a playoff berth in these final four weeks of the 2023 season.

Against the Jaguars, tight end David Njoku scored two first half touchdowns and was consistently open against a usually solid defense. Njoku caught six passes for 91 yards and now has surpassed 50 yards receiving in six of his last eight games. Though his play has been quiet of late, the Browns' No. 1 receiver is veteran Amari Cooper, who caught seven passes for 77 yards on Sunday. With Chicago's defense having improved of late, Cleveland's passing attack might struggle more than they did in Week 14. See which team to pick here.

How to make Bears vs. Browns picks

The model has simulated Cleveland vs. Chicago 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one\ side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model's Bears vs. Browns pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bears vs. Browns on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Cleveland vs. Chicago spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 176-129 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.