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The Detroit Lions (11-5) and Minnesota Vikings (7-9) will wrap up the regular season with a Week 18 NFC North battle on Sunday afternoon. Detroit picked up a 30-24 win at Minnesota when these teams met two weeks ago, as the Lions clinched their first division title since 1993. They are currently occupying the No. 3 seed in the NFC, but they can move up to No. 2 with a win and losses from the Cowboys and Eagles. Minnesota has lost three straight games and needs a win and three other results to go its way in order to sneak into the final NFC Wild Card spot. 

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Ford Field. Detroit is favored by 4 points in the latest Lions vs. Vikings odds, while the over/under is 46 points via SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Vikings vs. Lions picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model has set its sights on Minnesota vs. Detroit. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:

  • Lions vs. Vikings spread: Lions -4
  • Lions vs. Vikings over/under: 46 points
  • Lions vs. Vikings money line: Lions -211, Vikings +174
  • Lions vs. Vikings picks: See picks here
  • Lions vs. Vikings live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Lions can cover

While Minnesota is technically still alive for the postseason, it needs a win along with losses by the Packers, Seahawks and either the Buccaneers or Saints. The Vikings have only covered the spread once in their last six games, starting three different players under center during that stretch. 

Detroit has been one of the most profitable teams in the NFL this season, covering the spread at an 11-5 clip en route to a division title. The Lions have also covered in 12 of their last 15 divisional games, including a 30-24 win over Minnesota as 2.5-point road favorites on Christmas Eve. They have now covered in six straight games between these rivals, while the Vikings have only covered three times in their last 10 divisional games. See which team to pick here. 

Why the Vikings can cover

The Lions are essentially locked into the No. 3 seed, as they would need Philadelphia and Dallas to both lose this weekend. That could make this a low-energy spot for Detroit, especially after losing to the Cowboys in heartbreaking fashion last week. Meanwhile, Minnesota is in a must-win position to keep its playoff hopes alive. 

The Vikings have won nine of the last 12 meetings between these teams, and they have covered the spread in six of their last nine games against NFC opponents. Wide receiver Justin Jefferson needs 118 yards to reach the 1,000-yard mark for the fourth consecutive season, despite missing seven games due to a hamstring injury. He had six receptions for 141 yards and a touchdown against the Lions two weeks ago. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Lions vs. Vikings picks

The model has simulated Vikings vs. Lions 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Lions vs. Vikings, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Vikings vs. Lions spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on an 181-129 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.