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The Green Bay Packers will look for a repeat performance at Lambeau Field when they face the Tennessee Titans in a Week 11 showdown on Thursday Night Football. The Packers (4-6) rolled to a 40-14 win in Week 16 of the 2020 season. Aaron Rodgers threw for four touchdown passes and running backs A.J. Dillon (124 rushing yards) and Aaron Jones (94) combined for more than 200 rushing yards in the victory. The Titans (6-3) defeated the Denver Broncos 17-10 last Sunday, while the Packers outlasted the Dallas Cowboys in overtime.

Kickoff from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Green Bay is a 3-point favorite in the latest Titans vs. Packers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 41. Before making any Packers vs. Titans picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 153-108 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Titans vs. Packers and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 11 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Packers vs. Titans: 

  • Titans vs. Packers spread: Green Bay -3
  • Titans vs. Packers over/under: 41 points
  • Titans vs. Packers money line: Titans +140, Packers -165
  • TEN: Titans are 7-0 against the spread in their last seven games overall
  • GB: Packers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight Thursday games
  • Titans vs. Packers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Packers can cover

Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers completed 14 of 20 attempts (70%) and had three touchdowns and zero interceptions for a season-high 146.7 rating in Week 10. He has thrown two or more TD passes in seven of his past eight Thursday Night Football games and will look for his fourth game in a row on TNF with two or more touchdown passes and a 90-plus rating. He has three or more touchdown passes and a 125 or better rating in two career home games against Tennessee. For the season, he has completed 219 of 337 pass attempts (65%) for 2,315 yards, 17 touchdowns and seven interceptions.

Packers running back Aaron Jones totaled 156 yards (138 rushing and 18 receiving) and a rushing touchdown last week versus Dallas. He had success against the Titans in their last meeting in 2020 with 108 yards from scrimmage, including 94 rushing. Jones will look for his third game in a row at home on Thursday Night Football with a rushing touchdown. For the season, he has carried 131 times for 738 yards and two TDs. See which team to pick here.

Why the Titans can cover

Quarterback Ryan Tannehill passed for 255 yards and two touchdowns with zero interceptions and a 94.1 rating in the Week 10 win over the Broncos. He has had a 90-plus rating in four of his past five starts. Tannehill will be looking for his fifth game in a row with zero interceptions and third game in a row on the road with a 95 or better rating. He has nine TDs (six passing and three rushing) in his last four games against NFC North opponents.

Running back Derrick Henry is closing in on 1,000 yards rushing for the season. He ranks second in rushing yards (923) and is tied for second in rushing touchdowns (nine) this year. He has 100 or more yards rushing in five of his last six games and has two rushing touchdowns in two of his last three games. He will be looking for his sixth road game in a row with a rushing TD and fifth game in a row on the road with 100 or more rushing yards. Henry rushed for 98 yards in the last matchup versus the Packers. He can become the fifth player ever with 10 or more rushing touchdowns in five consecutive seasons. See which team to pick here.

How to make Titans vs. Packers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over the point total. In fact, it's calling for 41 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can only get the model's TNF picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Packers vs. Titans on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Packers vs. Titans spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.