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Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz will try to punch his ticket to the 2025 French Open men's final when he faces No. 8 seed Lorenzo Musetti in the semifinals on Friday morning. Alcaraz has already recorded 20 wins on clay this season, reaching at least the final in all three events he has entered. Musetti has built on an impressive clay swing, recording his second grand slam semifinal appearance. Friday's match is set to begin at 8 a.m. ET on Court Philippe-Chartrier in Paris, and it will be followed by Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic in the other semifinal. 

Alcaraz is the -800 favorite (risk $800 to win $100) in the French Open odds, while Musetti is the +530 underdog. The over/under for total games is 33.5, and Alcaraz is favored by 7.5 games. There are various French Open props to choose from in this match such as number of aces for each player, and new customers can use a Caesars Sportsbook promo code to add boosts to their French Open bets.

With French Open odds available for every match at sportsbooks, SportsLine tennis expert Jose Onorato can help you find value to add to your tennis picks. His picks can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the latest BetMGM promo code and DraftKings promo code.

Onorato has gone 168-106-8 (+107.12 units) on his best bets since 2022. He correctly called Jannik Sinner in the 2024 US Open (+320) and the 2025 Australian Open (+160). Now, he has revealed his Alcaraz vs. Musetti pick.  

Best Friday French Open picks for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Carlos Alcaraz:

  • Over 33.5 games (-118)

Over 33.5 games (-118 at FanDuel)

Alcaraz has only won two of his five matches in this tournament in straight sets, as both Damir Dzumhur and Ben Shelton took a set off the defending French Open champion. Musetti has struggled against top-10 players throughout his career, but he is playing the best tennis of his life and has been gaining confidence throughout the clay swing. Three of his four losses in the French Open have come in five sets, so he has been able to raise his level at Roland Garros.  

"While Alcaraz is the clear favorite, Musetti's recent form suggests he can challenge the Spaniard," Onorato said. "Their previous matches have been competitive, and with both players excelling on clay, this semifinal could be a tightly contested battle. Expect extended rallies and potentially four or more sets, making the over on total games a compelling play." FanDuel Sportsbook has the best price for this total, and a FanDuel promo code can give you even more value.

More French Open picks for Friday

You've seen Onorato's picks for Alcaraz vs. Musetti on Friday. Now, get even more tennis picks at SportsLine.

Onorato has also revealed his picks and analysis for the second men's semifinal between Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic. You can find his best bet for that match here, all from the expert who is up more than 100 units.