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  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    +300
    (100%)
    4-0-1 in Last 5 NCAAF Picks
    IND -7
    -115
    Spread
    PUSH
    Picked: Oct 22 @ 6:30pm

    Analysis

    DraftKings. This number looks like it's headed toward 7.5 at most sportsbooks, so I'll grab Indiana -7 now. The Hoosiers are coming off a rare loss under Curt Cignetti and I don't know how Michigan scores. The Wolverines' defense will keep them in the game for a while, but I see Indiana pulling away at some point. Tommy Carr may be Michigan's long-term answer at QB. However, Carr's problem in his first career start is that Indiana's defense allows just 75 rushing yards per game and 2.28 yards per carry. If Josh Hoover takes care of the football, IU should win this game by double digits. Give me the Hoosiers -7 for one unit.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +702.5
    (68%)
    27-13 in Last 40 NCAAF Picks
    RI
    -166
    Money Line
    LOSS
    Picked: Oct 23 @ 2:34am

    Analysis

    Rhode Island looked great last Saturday in a blowout road upset win at ranked Yale out of conference and has won both at home thus far, allowing only 20 total points. QB Alex McClelland is the reigning CAA Offensive Player of the Week. Last season, Rhody won this matchup 58-17 away. Pretty much all the game notes tell me other than every player's favorite place to eat in the greater Kingston, R.I. area.
  • expert headshot
    David Bearman
    #2
    +696
    (67%)
    16-8 in Last 24 NCAAF Picks
    Under 42.5
    -105
    Over/Under
    WIN
    Picked: Oct 23 @ 12:02pm

    Analysis

    This is a battle of two of the best defenses in the country and two offenses that have not shown much this season. Indiana allows just 12.9 points per game, best in the Big Ten and fourth best in the country. They just held the Ohio State offense to 19 points and 313 total yards, but lost because the offense could only muster 2 TDs and 369 yards. Michigan's defense is arguably even better, 4th in the nation and first in the Big Ten in yards (256.5), and 19th in scoring at 16.2 PPG, while facing a tougher schedule than Indiana. They've allowed 4.1 yards per play this season, best in the country. Michigan has allowed 20 points or fewer in all six games.
  • expert headshot
    Tom Fornelli
    +430
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NCAAF Picks
    Under 53.5
    -108
    Over/Under
    LOSS
    Picked: Oct 23 @ 7:57pm

    Analysis

    It's a combination of styles as well as weather. FAU wants to throw, and it'll try, but the expected windy and possibly wet conditions will make it more difficult. Rice will just try to run it. It could be a sloppy affair in Boca.
  • expert headshot
    Tom Fornelli
    +430
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NCAAF Picks
    Under 51.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    LOSS
    Picked: Oct 23 @ 7:58pm

    Analysis

    I have more faith in the defenses in this game than I do the offenses. LSU hasn't won on the road since 2024 and has struggled outside Baton Rouge this season. Auburn must avoid a major letdown after last week's win over Georgia, but being at home will help.

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