Dolphins vs. Bills: Best player prop bets for Josh Allen, Tua Tagovailoa for Week 3 Thursday Night Football
The Sportsline Inside the Lines team's model suggests whether to back Josh Allen or Tua Tagovailoa on various player props for Thursday's Dolphins vs. Bills clash
The Miami Dolphins are desperate for a win after an 0-2 start, and there's no quarterback they'd rather avoid than Josh Allen. Allen has a 13-2 career record against Miami. Will Allen have another strong performance against the Dolphins, and will Tua Tagovailoa be able to lead Miami's offense to a big day? Let's check out which quarterback that the SportsLine Inside the Lines team's model prefers for certain props on Thursday night after simulating this game 10,000 times.
If you're new to NFL betting or need a refresher, make sure to check out our NFL betting guide with the season underway.
We'll be using odds from FanDuel Sportsbook to look at player props for Allen and Tagovailoa for Thursday's game. Check out the SportsLine Projection Model's forecast for the entire game, including more player props.
Passing yardage props
Tua Tagovailoa: 238.5 (Over -114, Under -114)
Josh Allen: 233.5 (Over -114, Under -114)
Top SportsLine projection model pick: Tagovailoa Over 238.5 (4.5 stars)
Tagovailoa Over 238.5 passing yards is the highest-rated player prop recommendation for Dolphins vs. Bills, as it's the only one with a 4.5-star rating. He's been projected for 278.0 passing yards on Thursday night, and has averaged 284.4 passing yards in his past five contests.
Passing touchdowns props
Tua Tagovailoa: 1.5 (Over +134, Under -180)
Josh Allen: 1.5 (Over -154, Under +116)
Top SportsLine projection model pick: Allen Over 1.5 (3 stars)
Allen has thrown 40 touchdown passes in 14 career games against the Dolphins in the regular season, going Over 1.5 passing touchdowns in 13 of them. The model likes that trend to continue, with Allen projected for 2.0 touchdown passes against Miami in Week 3.
Total completions props
Tua Tagovailoa: 23.5 (Over -108, Under -122)
Josh Allen: 20.5 (Over -114, Under -114)
Top SportsLine projection model pick: Allen Under 20.5 (4.5 stars)
Allen has gone Under his completions prop in five straight home games, averaging 16.2 completions over that stretch. Allen is projected for just 14.8 completions on TNF, making this Under a 4.5-star recommendation.
