Duke vs. NC State odds, line: 2023 college basketball picks, Feb. 28 predictions from proven computer model
SportsLine's model just revealed its college basketball picks for North Carolina State vs. Duke Blue Devils on Tuesday

The Duke Blue Devils will try to extend their four-game winning streak when they face the NC State Wolfpack on Tuesday night. Duke is undefeated in its 15 home games at Cameron Indoor Stadium, including back-to-back wins over Louisville and Virginia Tech last week. NC State is coming off one of its worst performances of the season, getting crushed by Clemson on Saturday.
Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET. The Blue Devils are favored by 6.5 points in the latest Duke vs. NC State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 145. Before entering any NC State vs. Duke picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 17 of the season 76-46 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,600 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. NC State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for North Carolina State vs. Duke:
- Duke vs. NC State spread: Duke -6.5
- Duke vs. NC State over/under: 145 points
- Duke vs. NC State money line: Duke -305, NC State +240
- Duke vs. NC State picks: See picks here
Why Duke can cover
Duke is undefeated at home coming into this game, and it is wrapping up a three-game homestand after beating Louisville and Virginia Tech. The Blue Devils have matched their best winning streak of the season at four games, with head coach Jon Scheyer setting the program record for the most wins by a first-year coach. They avenged a Jan. 23 loss to Virginia Tech with Saturday night's 81-65 win, as all five starters scored in double figures.
Junior guard Jeremy Roach had one of his most complete performances of the season, scoring 19 points, dishing out 10 assists and grabbing five rebounds. Star freshman Kyle Filipowski leads Duke with 14.9 points and 8.9 rebounds per game, while Roach is averaging 13.0 points. The Blue Devils are 14-6 in their last 20 games against NC State, which has only covered the spread in five of its last 16 road games.
Why NC State can cover
NC State crushed Duke in the first meeting of the season, rolling to an 84-60 win last month. The Wolfpack scored the first 15 points of the game and led by 22 points at halftime as 4.5-point underdogs. Sophomore guard Terquavion Smith scored 24 points on 8 of 19 shooting, while senior guard Jarkel Joiner added 21 points, nine assists and six rebounds.
The Wolfpack have not lost consecutive games this season and are trying to keep that trend alive on Tuesday night. Smith (17.6) and Joiner (17.0) are one of the best scoring duos in the country, and senior forward DJ Burns is adding 13.1 points and 5.0 rebounds. NC State has covered the spread in seven of its last 10 games against Duke, which is 4-11 against the spread in its last 15 games this season.
How to make Duke vs. NC State picks
The model has simulated NC State vs. Duke 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Duke vs. NC State? And which side of the spread is hitting well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is 76-46 on its top-rated college basketball picks this season, and find out.















