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It will be a clash of styles in the second round of the 2021 NCAA Tournament on Sunday when the third-seeded Arkansas Razorbacks face the sixth-seeded Texas Tech Red Raiders in Indianapolis. Arkansas (23-6) is one of the highest-scoring teams in Division I, and it comes in off an 85-68 victory against high-scoring Colgate in the first round. The Red Raiders (18-10) play at a slower pace while emphasizing defense, an approach that was on display in a 65-53 victory against Utah State in Friday's opener.

Tip-off from Hinkle Fieldhouse is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Red Raiders as a two-point favorite in its latest Texas Tech vs. Arkansas odds, and the over-under for total points scored is set at 140.5. Before you lock in your Arkansas vs. Texas Tech picks, check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It has also returned almost $500 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas Tech vs. Arkansas in the NCAA Tournament 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Arkansas vs. Texas Tech:

  • Texas Tech vs. Arkansas spread: Texas Tech -2
  • Texas Tech vs. Arkansas over-under: 140.5 points
  • Texas Tech vs. Arkansas money line: Texas Tech -130, Arkansas +110
  • TT: G Kyler Edwards has a team-high 119 defensive rebounds, almost 91 percent of his 131 total
  • ARK: The Razorbacks are 19-0 when they hold the opponent to fewer than 76 points.

Why Texas Tech can cover 

Texas Tech is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven NCAA Tournament games, and the Red Raiders will try to slow the pace on Sunday. They average just 66.5 possessions per game (295th in NCAA) while the Razorbacks average more than 75 (eighth). Texas Tech has the best scoring defense in the Big 12 at 63.3 (23rd in the nation), and it is outscoring opponents by nearly 10 points per game. Texas Tech forced 22 turnovers and had just eight in the win against defensive stalwart Utah State.      

The Red Raiders offense is led by Big 12 Newcomer of the Year Mac McClung, who puts up a lot of shots and averages 15.8 points. He had a team-high 16 on Friday, hitting three of six 3-pointers, and he has made more than 34 percent of his 135 tries. Kyler Edwards has made more than 41 percent on 128 from beyond the arc and is one of four players averaging more than 10 points. Marcus Santos-Silva also plays a key role, averaging 8.4 points, a team-high 6.5 rebounds and more than a blocked shot per game.

Why Arkansas can cover

Arkansas is 7-1 against the spread in its last eight games against a team with a winning straight-up record, and it has won 10 of its past 11. Four of those wins were against NCAA Tournament teams, including the LSU squad that later beat the Razorbacks in the SEC semifinals. The Razorbacks just held Colgate, which came in scoring 86 points per game, to 68 and the opportunistic defense forced 22 turnovers. The Razorbacks average more than 83 points per game (seventh in NCAA) and outscore opponents by more than 12.      

The Razorbacks are 9-2 against the spread in their past 11, and guard Moses Moody has had an immediate and immense impact. The SEC Freshman of the Year averages 17.2 points and 5.8 rebounds. Forward Justin Smith scores 13.6 and had a monster game Friday with a career-best 29 while getting five of the team's 13 steals and blocking two shots. Guard JD Notae scores 13.3 as one of seven Razorbacks averaging at least six points, and he and Moody combine to make more than 35 percent of their 3-pointers.

How to make Texas Tech vs. Arkansas picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 145 points. It also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Texas Tech vs. Arkansas? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.