Alabama Stakes 2022 predictions, odds, expert picks, contenders: Horse racing insider reveals best bets
Bob Weir revealed his 2022 Alabama Stakes expert picks at Saratoga Race Course on Saturday
By
CBS Sports Staff
•
3 min read
Two-time Grade 1 winner Nest can make her case as the top 3-year-old -- male or female -- in the country when she leaves the starting gate in the 2022 Alabama Stakes on Saturday at Saratoga Race Course in Saratoga Springs, N.Y. Trained by Todd Pletcher, Nest has three wins and two second in five starts this year. She is coming off a 12-plus length victory in the Coaching Club American Oaks last month at Saratoga. For Saturday she is the 1-2 morning-line favorite in the 2022 Alabama Stakes odds. Mother Goose Stakes winner Gerrymander is second in the odds at 7-2 in the seven-horse Alabama Stakes 2022 field, while Kentucky Oaks winner Secret Oath is next at 4-1.
Post time for the 1¼-mile race is 5:35 p.m. ET. With an accomplished field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, you'll want to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any Alabama Stakes picks.
A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Last year, he was on fire. He hit the exacta in the Sam F. Davis Stakes, Tampa Bay Derby and Peter Pan Stakes, the trifecta in the Risen Star Stakes, Blue Grass Stakes and Pennsylvania Derby and the superfecta in the Belmont Stakes.
This year, he has been red-hot in the Triple Crown prep races, hitting the superfecta in the Blue Grass Stakes, the trifecta in the Louisiana Derby and exactas in the Fountain of Youth Stakes and Tampa Bay Derby. He also has hit the 19-1 winner of the Man o' War Stakes, the trifecta in the Pegasus World Cup, the superfecta in the Met Mile and multiple Pick 4s, including May 14's at Belmont for $1,851. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
Now, he has handicapped the 2022 Alabama Stakes lineup, made his picks and constructed his bets. You can only see them at SportsLine.
Top 2022 Alabama Stakes predictions
After studying the past performances and Beyer Speed Figures of every horse in the race, Weir is low on the chances of Kentucky Oaks winner Secret Oath, even though she is a major contender, listed at 4-1 on the morning line. A daughter of 2016 Breeders' Cup Classic winner Arrogate, Secret Oath has earned almost $1.5 million in her career. She is looking for her second Grade 1 victory, after winning the Kentucky Oaks in May.
But since that victory at Churchill Downs, she lost by more than six lengths in the Preakness Stakes and then by more than 12 lengths, to Nest, in the Coaching Club American Oaks. "I feel as if this filly could be going the wrong way," Weir says. He prefers two horses over Secret Oath. See who they are right here.
How to 2022 Alabama Stakes picks
Instead, Weir's top pick is a horse who "seemingly improves with every start." He also is high on a double-digit longshot who is set to bounce back from a run that was "a little disappointing" last time out. Weir is including these horses in his 2022 Alabama Stakes bets, and so should you. He's sharing which horses to back only at SportsLine.
So who wins the Alabama Stakes? What double-digit longshot is a must-back? And how has Weir constructed his wagers? Check out the latest Alabama Stakes odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Weir's picks for the Alabama Stakes.
2022 Alabama Stakes odds, post positions
| Prg # | Horse | Odds | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skratch Kat | 30-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 2 | Goddess of Fire | 20-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 3 | Gerrymander | 7-2 | SEE PICKS |
| 4 | Nest | 1-2 | SEE PICKS |
| 5 | Nostalgic | 12-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 6 | She's Keen | 30-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 7 | Secret Oath | 4-1 | SEE PICKS |
