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The Washington Nationals (17-23) host the New York Mets (20-21) in a divisional bout on Monday afternoon. The Mets topped Washington 8-2 on Sunday and have won two of the past three outings. New York is 12-5 in its last 17 Monday games. The Under is 5-0-2 in the Nationals' last seven Monday games. David Peterson (1-5, 7.68 ERA) is on the mound for New York. Patrick Corbin (1-5, 4.87) gets the start for the Nationals.

The first pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. New York is listed at -160 in the money line (risk $160 to win $100) in the latest Mets vs. Nationals odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for total runs scored is 9.5. Before making any Nationals vs. Mets picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, It has opened the 2023 MLB season on a 17-12 roll on all-top rated MLB picks. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Nationals and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Nationals vs. Mets:

  • Mets vs. Nationals money line: Mets -160, Nationals +135
  • Mets vs. Nationals run line: Mets -1.5 (+105)
  • Mets vs. Nationals over/under: 9.5 runs
  • NYM: Mets are -483 on the money line in Peterson starts this season 
  • WAS: Under is 6-0 in Nationals' last six home games
  • Mets vs. Nationals picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Mets

Second baseman Jeff McNeil is an excellent contact hitter. His smooth and compact swing sprays the ball anywhere on the diamond. The two-time All-Star has a batting average of .264 with two dingers and 13 RBI. On May 12, McNeil went 2-of-5 with two base hits.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor is a rangy defender who owns a lighting-quick bat. Lindor throws the ball with force and accuracy across the field. At the plate, he's a switch hitter with great strength. He ranks ninth in the league in RBI (31) with six home runs. On May 9 against the Cincinnati Reds, Lindor went 2-of-5 with a two-run homer. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back the Nationals

Right fielder Lane Thomas is a solid all-around player for the Nats. Thomas runs well and has good awareness in both phases of the game. The 27-year-old has displayed home-run power as well. He's batting .272 with four home runs and 18 RBI. On Saturday against the Mets, Thomas went 2-of-4 with two singles and one run scored. 

Designated hitter Joey Meneses is a consistent batter with good plate discipline. Meneses will stay patient until he sees a pitch he likes. The 31-year-old leads the team in batting average (.285) with two dingers and 18 RBI. He also rolls into this game on a seven-game-hitting streak. See which team to back here.

How to make Nationals vs. Mets picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 8.8 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Mets vs. Nationals? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Rays vs. Yankees you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 17-12 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.