The top-seeded Philadelphia 76ers aim to keep a winning streak alive on Monday against the Atlanta Hawks in the 2021 NBA Playoffs. Philadelphia dropped Game 1 to Atlanta in a best-of-seven second-round clash, only to rebound with back-to-back wins. The Sixers enjoyed an uptick in overall efficiency in both victories, holding Trae Young in check and allowing Joel Embiid to leave his imprint on the series. Embiid will continue to play through a knee injury, and Danny Green (calf) is out for the 76ers. De'Andre Hunter (knee) has been ruled out for the Hawks. Philadelphia is now listed at +750 to win the 2021 championship in the latest NBA odds from William Hill Sportsbook. 

Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET in Atlanta. The latest 76ers vs. Hawks odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Philadelphia as a three-point favorite. The over-under for total points is set at 225.5. Before finalizing any Hawks vs. 76ers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $700 on its top-rated picks this season and entered this week of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Sixers vs. Hawks in the NBA Playoffs 2021. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Hawks vs. Sixers:

  • 76ers vs. Hawks spread: 76ers -3 
  • 76ers vs. Hawks over-under: 225.5 points 
  • 76ers vs. Hawks money line: 76ers -145, Hawks +125 
  • PHI: 76ers are 11-6 against the spread as road favorites 
  • ATL: Hawks are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games

Why the 76ers can cover

Since halftime of Game 1, Philadelphia has dominated the proceedings. Atlanta made 20 3-pointers in the opener, negating the inherent advantages for the 76ers, but Doc Rivers' team has been dominant on the defensive end since then. Philadelphia was No. 2 in the NBA in defensive efficiency during the regular season, yielding just 1.07 points per possession, and the Sixers picked up where they left off by swarming Young and company in the last two games. The 76ers have also turned Clint Capela, a legitimate All-Defensive team candidate, into a net-negative for the Hawks, as Atlanta is being out-scored by 19.8 points per 100 possessions with their starting center on the floor. 

Beyond that, the 76ers are taking full advantage of Atlanta's starting lineup. Without Hunter in the mix, the Hawks inserted Solomon Hill as the starting small forward, and that five-man unit has been out-scored by 19 points in just 32 minutes across three games. Philadelphia is also scoring at a whopping clip of 1.26 points per possession in the last two games, leaving the Hawks with no margin for error, particularly with in any moment that Embiid is on the floor.

Why the Hawks can cover

Atlanta displayed a potentially interesting formula for success in Game 1. By attempting 47 3-pointers, the Hawks swung the math in their favor, particularly with Philadelphia heavily focused on post-ups with Embiid. Atlanta has created fewer 3-point attempts since then, but the Hawks have found success in producing above-average offensive efficiency with any lineup that does not feature Hill. For the series, the Hawks are scoring more than 1.21 points per possession with Hill off the court, and they went to a big lineup featuring Danilo Gallinari, John Collins and Capela during the second half of Game 3.

The Hawks could also benefit from increased ball security and offensive rebounding, as they were a top-10 team in both turnover rate (13.3 percent) and offensive rebound rate (28.4 percent) during the regular season. In a series in which they are facing a highly talented Sixers team, the Hawks could lean into playing the math, particularly with Young maintaining a 59.1 percent true shooting clip on 33.7 percent usage during the first three games.

How to make 76ers vs. Hawks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with Embiid and Bogdan Bogdanovic projected to fall below their season-long scoring averages. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get this pick on SportsLine.

So who wins 76ers vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Hawks vs. 76ers spread you need to jump on Monday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.