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Cary Edmondson / USA TODAY Sports

The Oklahoma City Thunder (7-4) go on the road to play the Golden State Warriors (6-6) in a conference tilt on Thursday night. This is the second of four matchups between these foes, and on Nov. 3, the Warriors topped the Thunder 141-139. Oklahoma City ranks seventh in the NBA in total points (115.9), Golden State is 11th (114). Stephen Curry (knee) and Draymond Green (suspension) are both out for the Warriors.

Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET at Chase Center in San Francisco. Oklahoma City is a 3-point favorite in the latest Thunder vs. Warriors odds, per SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 226.5. Before making any Warriors vs. Thunder picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons. The model enters Week 4 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a 80-43 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Thunder vs. Warriors. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Thunder:

  • Thunder vs. Warriors spread: Oklahoma City -3
  • Thunder vs. Warriors Over-Under: 226.5 points
  • Thunder vs. Warriors money line: Oklahoma City -158, Golden State +132
  • OKC: Oklahoma City has hit the money line in 37 of its last 66 games
  • GS: Golden State has hit the 4Q game total Under in 32 of its last 45 home games
  • Thunder vs. Warriors picks: See picks here

Why the Thunder can cover

Forward Jalen Williams is a three-level scorer who is a knock-down shooter with the ability to score off the dribble as well. The Santa Clara product is putting up 17.3 points, 3.5 assists, and shoots 36% from beyond the arc. In the Nov. 12 contest against the Phoenix Suns, Williams dropped a season-high 31 points with three 3-pointers.

Guard Josh Giddey is a lengthy and skilled ball handler. Giddey uses his superior court vision as a playmaker, controls the pace, and the 21-year-old owns a soft touch in the lane. He's averaging 12.5 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game. On Nov. 14 versus the Spurs, Giddey racked up 18 points, seven rebounds, and seven assists. See which team to pick here. 

Why the Warriors can cover

Guard Klay Thompson is a knock down shooter who owns a quick release and has superb range. The five-time All-Star is averaging 14.6 points and 3.5 rebounds per game. On Nov. 12 against the Timberwolves, Thompson logged 16 points and five rebounds. He recorded at least 15 points in five of his last seven outings.

Forward Jonathan Kuminga brings good athleticism and energy off the bench. Kuminga has the explosiveness to glide to the rim and finish with force in the lane. The 21-year-old is always moving without the ball and cutting to the rim as he is averaging 11.5 points and 2.9 rebounds per game. He's supplied double-digit scoring performances in seven of his last eight games. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Warriors vs. Thunder picks

The model has simulated Thunder vs. Warriors 10,000 times and is leaning Under, with the teams projected to score 222 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

Who wins Warriors vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks, all from the model that is on a 80-43 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.