The Jacksonville Jaguars will take on the Denver Broncos at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High. Denver is 0-3 overall and 0-1 at home, while Jacksonville is 1-2 overall and 0-1 on the road. The Jaguars are coming off an impressive victory over division rival Tennessee last Thursday, while Denver fell to Green Bay 27-16, losing its third straight game to open the season. Despite not having won a game so far this season, Denver enters Sunday's AFC showdown favored by three-points in the latest Broncos vs. Jaguars odds, while the Over-Under is set at 38. Before you make any Jaguars vs. Broncos picks and predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 4 of the 2019 season on a strong 17-10 run. It's also on a 79-53 roll on top-rated NFL against the spread picks that dates back to the 2017 season. And in Week 3, it was all over the Saints (+5) without Drew Brees covering against the Seahawks and Daniel Jones leading the Giants (+5) to the cover against the Bucs. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has simulated Broncos vs. Jaguars 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

The model has taken into account that Denver came up short against Green Bay last week, falling 27-16. Running back Phillip Lindsay put forth a good effort for the losing side as he rushed for 81 yards and two touchdowns on 21 carries. Broncos quarterback Joe Flacco has been steady despite the 0-3 start, throwing for 773 yards and two touchdowns with two interceptions. Running back Royce Freeman has also provided a spark in Denver's backfield, rushing for 173 yards on 36 carries this season.

Meanwhile, the Gardner Minshew Era continued in Jacksonville last week, as the Jaguars downed the Titans 20-7 in the quarterback's first NFL start. Minshew earned his stripes, throwing for 204 yards and two touchdowns against Tennessee. Wide receiver DJ Chark also had a strong outing against the Titans, recording four receptions for 76 yards and a score. The second-year receiver out of LSU has now scored a touchdown in every game this season.

The Broncos come into Sunday's game boasting the third best defense in the league when it comes to passing touchdowns allowed, giving up just two this season. As for the Jaguars' defense, they enter the contest having racked up 13 sacks already, which ranks first in the NFL. 

So who wins Broncos vs. Jaguars? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Jaguars vs. Broncos spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks.