derek-carr-1400.jpg

The Denver Broncos and the Las Vegas Raiders will face off in an AFC West clash at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High. Denver is 5-10 overall and 2-5 at home, while Las Vegas is 7-8 overall and 5-2 on the road. The Raiders have won six of the last 10 in this AFC West rivalry and has also covered in eight of the last 10 head-to-head matchups. Both teams have been eliminated from playoff consideration. 

However, both squads are 8-7 against the spread so far this season and both teams are fighting through some injury issues to conclude the season. Las Vegas is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Raiders vs. Broncos odds from William Hill, and the over-under is set at 50.5. Before entering any Broncos vs. Raiders picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 23-13 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model also enters Week 17 on an incredible 119-77 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Raiders vs. Broncos. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Raiders vs. Broncos:

  • Raiders vs. Broncos spread: Broncos +2.5
  • Raiders vs. Broncos over-under: 51 points
  • Raiders vs. Broncos money line: Broncos +130; Raiders -150

What you need to know about the Broncos

The Broncos were close but ultimately feel this past Sunday 19-16 to the Los Angeles Chargers. One thing holding Denver back was the mediocre play of quarterback Drew Lock, who did not have his best game. Despite throwing one touchdown, he threw two interceptions and averaged only 5.6 yards per passing attempt.

Lock has had an uneven season, completing just 57.0 percent of his passes and throwing for 2,594 yards and 14 touchdowns with 15 interceptions. With Phillip Lindsay (hip) out for the remainder of the season, the Broncos will lean heavily on Melvin Gordon, who has put up 1,034 scrimmage yards and nine touchdowns this season.

What you need to know about the Raiders

Las Vegas had victory within its grasp last week but couldn't quite capture it as the squad lost 26-25 to Miami. Despite the loss, the Raiders had strong showings from wide receiver Nelson Agholor, who caught five passes for one TD and 155 yards, and quarterback Derek Carr, who passed for one TD and 336 yards on 34 attempts in addition to punching in one rushing touchdown. One of the most thrilling moments was Agholor's 85-yard TD reception down the right side of the field in the fourth quarter.

A couple defensive stats to consider in this one: The Broncos come into the contest boasting the third fewest passing touchdowns allowed in the NFL at 19. Less enviably, Las Vegas is second worst in the league in rushing touchdowns allowed, with 23 on the season.

How to make Raiders vs. Broncos picks

The model has simulated Raiders vs. Broncos 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Raiders vs. Broncos? And which side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Broncos vs. Raiders spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks.