The Washington Commanders (5-5) look to stay hot when they travel south to take on the Houston Texans (1-7-1) on Sunday in a key NFL Week 11 matchup. The Commanders, led by quarterback Taylor Heinicke, defeated the previously undefeated Philadelphia Eagles 32-21 on Monday Night Football, elevating themselves back into the NFC playoff race. Heinicke will be making his fifth straight start in place of Carson Wentz. Meanwhile, the Texans are riding a four-game losing streak after falling to the New York Giants 24-16 in Week 10.
Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET at NRG Stadium in Houston. Washington is favored by 3 points in the latest Commanders vs. Texans odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 41 points. Before making any Texans vs. Commanders picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 153-108 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Texans and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 11 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Commanders vs. Texans:
- Texans vs. Commanders spread: Commanders -3
- Texans vs. Commanders over/under: 41 points
- Texans vs. Commanders money line: Washington -170, Houston +143
- Texans vs. Commanders picks: See picks here
What you need to know about the Commanders
The Commanders were impressive on both sides of the ball in their 32-21 upset win over the Eagles on Monday night. Heinicke was efficient, completing 58.6% of his passes for 211 yards, but it was rookie running back Brian Robinson Jr. and veteran wide receiver Terry McLaurin who were the difference makers.
Robinson carried the ball 26 times for 86 yards and a touchdown and his bruising style set the tone for the game early on. McLaurin hauled in eight passes for 128 yards, and proved to be the most effective wide receiver on the field, vastly out-producing Philadelphia stars DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown, who combined for only seven receptions, 46 yards, and one touchdown. Look for Washington to lean on both players again this week in Houston.
What you need to know about the Texans
Expectations were extremely low for the Texans heading into the 2022 season. While their 1-7-1 overall record indicates that most pundits were correct in their preseason assessment of Lovie Smith's squad, a closer look at Houston's on field performance reveals that their record could easily be much better than it is.
Of the Texans' seven losses, four came by one score, and they have yet to be truly blown out by any opponent they've faced. One of Houston's keys to success this year has been rookie running back Dameon Pierce. The fourth round pick out of Florida has rushed for 772 yards and three touchdowns on 165 carries (4.7 yards per carry), and caught 22 passes for 126 yards and a touchdown. Heading into Week 11, Pierce is one of the top contenders to take home NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors at the end of the season.
How to make Commanders vs. Texans picks
The model has simulated Texans vs. Commanders 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Texans vs. Commanders? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Commanders vs. Texans spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 153-108 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
