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Brazil will try to defend its title on Saturday when it faces pre-tournament favorite Spain in the men's soccer gold medal match at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. Brazil came in as the second choice among oddsmakers for Olympics 2020 gold but has been more impressive in the tournament. Spain has looked fatigued and is struggling to score but boasts a ton of talent. Both had to fight hard to get here, with Brazil beating Mexico in a shootout after a 0-0 draw and Spain netting its goal in the 115th minute to beat Japan 1-0 in Tuesday's Tokyo 2020 semifinals. Each has won a gold medal, with each winning on its home turf -- Brazil at Rio 2016 and Spain at Barcelona 1992.    

Kickoff from Yokohama Stadium is set for 7:30 a.m ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Brazil as the slight +160 favorite (risk $100 to win $160) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Brazil vs. Spain odds, while Spain is the +190 underdog. The over-under for total goals scored is set at 1.5. Before you lock in your Spain vs. Brazil picks or 2020 Tokyo Olympics predictions, you need to see what consummate soccer insider Martin Green has to say. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has taken a close look at the Brazil vs. Spain matchup and revealed his 2020 Tokyo Olympics soccer picks. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the Olympics 2020 odds and betting trends for Spain vs. Brazil:  

  • Brazil vs. Spain spread: Brazil -0.5 (+155)
  • Brazil vs. Spain over-under: 1.5 goals 
  • Brazil vs. Spain money line: Brazil +160, Spain +190, Draw +175
  • BRA: Richarlison has 33 goals over his past three seasons in the English Premier League 
  • SPA: Mikel Oyarzabal has at least 10 goals in four straight seasons in La Liga

Why you should back Brazil

The Brazilians have lost two friendlies but have not lost in a competitive match in their last 12 (8-4-0) and are on a seven-game unbeaten run overall. They bunkered down against a tough Mexico squad but still had 67 percent possession and six shots on net before proving their class in the shootout. This under-23 team plays with the skill common of the Selecao senior team, with Everton's Richarlison and Hertha Berlin's Matheus Cunja forming a dangerous partnership up top. Richarlison is the tournament's top scorer with five goals, while Cunha has scored two.        

Brazil has won four medals in five appearances at the Summer Games, also winning two bronze and a silver, since the age restrictions were put in place in 1992. Spain has qualified just one other time since 2000, failing to advance in London in 2012. Brazil manager Andre Jardine chose to provide a safety net on defense for his young squad with his over-age selections. Captain Dani Alves, 38, and Sevilla's Diego Carlos, 28, anchor the unit, while 31-year-old goalkeeper Santos also provides leadership and has allowed just three goals in the five matches. 

Why you should back Spain

The Spaniards have struggled to score goals, but the talent is certainly there. With Spanish law requiring club teams to release players for Olympic duty, the team had its pick of young players and three veterans. The squad includes six who played key roles in the team's Euro 2020 semifinal run last month. They have shown signs of fatigue, but they should find a second gear with gold on the line. The team also has plenty of depth if it ends up in extra time. Real Madrid's Marco Asensio, 25, is one of three over-age players and netted the winner against Japan.    

Asensio plays opposite Dani Olmo and Mikel Oyarzabal in a potent attack. Olmo also has a goal, while Oyarzabal has two, and Rafa Mir had a hat trick as a substitute to save the quarterfinal against Ivory Coast. Oyarzabal also can set up goals and has 19 assists over the past two seasons with Real Sociedad. Spain is solid in the back and has allowed just three goals in the five games. Barcelona's Eric Garcia and Villareal's Pau Torres are two of the world's best young defenders and are backed by Athletic Bilbao goalkeeper Unai Simon.

How to make Brazil vs. Spain picks

Green has taken a close look at the Brazil vs. Spain match from all sides, and he's leaning under on the goal total. He has two confident best bets and a full breakdown of this 2020 Tokyo Olympics gold-medal match. He's only sharing those expert soccer picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Brazil vs. Spain? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Spain vs. Brazil match, all from the soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.