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Southampton is on a roll and it will try to continue its momentum when it hosts Aston Villa on Friday in an English Premier League match at St. Mary's Stadium. The Saints (2-5-3) are unbeaten in their last three Premier League fixtures. Meanwhile, Aston Villa (3-1-6) has lost four consecutive games, giving up 12 goals in the process, and has dropped to 15th place in the Premier League table. The Saints beat Watford 1-0 last Saturday to move a point ahead of Villa, which was throttled 4-1 by West Ham on the same day.

Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET in Southampton, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists Southampton as the +105 favorite (risk $100 to win $105) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Aston Villa vs. Southampton odds, with Aston Villa the +260 underdog. A draw is priced at +250 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any Southampton vs. Aston Villa picks or English Premier League predictions, make sure you check out what European soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have hauled in stunning profits. Green has generated well over $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has taken a close look at Aston Villa vs. Southampton from every possible angle and just revealed his coveted Premier League picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his EPL picks. Here are several odds and betting lines for Southampton vs. Aston Villa:

  • Southampton vs. Aston Villa spread: Southampton -0.5 (+100)
  • Southampton vs. Aston Villa over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Southampton vs. Aston Villa money line: Southampton +105, Aston Villa +260, Draw +250  
  • SH: GK Alex McCarthy allows 1.20 goals per match 
  • AV: GK Emiliano Martinez yields 1.78 goals per game

Why you should back Southampton

The Saints are 5-3-1 in the last nine meetings, with the lone loss coming at home last year. They dominated that match with 60 percent possession and a 20-8 advantage in shots. They have outscored Villa 21-10 in the nine meetings, and Villa hasn't won consecutive games in the series since a four-game run from 1995-98. Aston Villa also has never won a road match on a Friday (0-3-10), and it has scored just five goals in its five away games this season.     

Southampton is brimming with confidence, especially after holding its own in a shootout loss to Chelsea in the EFL Cup. Che Adams scored the lone goal in that match, and he also got his first in league play last weekend to beat Watford. The Saints also are waiting for top signing Adam Armstrong, who had 28 goals for Blackburn last season, to find his footing. Villa has allowed 19 goals, the third-worst defensive record in the EPL, and 11 of those have come on the road. Southampton has allowed just four goals in five matches on its home turf this season.

Why you should back Aston Villa

Aston Villa has a poor recent record against the Saints but won the last meeting between the teams, taking a 1-0 victory at St. Mary's in January. Villa is likely to be without main scoring option Danny Ings (three goals) after he tested positive for COVID, but manager Dean Smith has numerous solid players to turn to in attack. Ollie Watkins (two goals), Emiliano Buendia (one) and Leon Bailey (one) all can get the job done up front, and the Saints have yielded the fifth-most shots in the league. More than 32 percent of those shots have been on target. 

Villa has not been lighting up the scoreboard, but it does have 14 goals in the 10 matches, while the Saints have scored just nine. It has failed to score in just one game this season, and that was against defensive giant Chelsea. It has victories against Everton and Manchester United, and it is trying to regain the form it showed before the international break last month. Villa was 4-2-2 in its first eight games in all competitions this season, but the time off seemed to halt its momentum. The home side has won once in the past six meetings (1-4-1) between the teams.    

How to make EPL picks for Southampton vs. Aston Villa

Green has scrutinized Friday's Aston Villa vs. Southampton match from all sides, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides his two best bets, including a confident play on the money line. He's only sharing those picks for this English Premier League match at SportsLine.

So, who wins Aston Villa vs. Southampton in Friday's Premier League matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Southampton vs. Aston Villa match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.