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An automatic berth for Qatar 2022 is on the line when Spain hosts Sweden on Sunday. Spain (5-1-1) leads the group after it beat Greece 1-0 and Sweden (5-0-2) suffered a stunning 2-0 loss to Georgia on Thursday. These teams have met twice over the past six months, and they played to a scoreless stalemate in group play at Euro 2020 in June. Then, the Swedes pulled off a major victory in the first World Cup Qualifying meeting, winning 2-1 in Stockholm to snap the Spaniards' 66-game qualifying win streak.

Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Spain as the -300 favorite (risk $300 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in the latest Spain vs. Sweden odds, with Sweden the +700 underdog. A draw is priced at +300 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before you lock in your Sweden vs. Spain picks, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated well over $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has taken a close look at the Spain vs. Sweden matchup and released his picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Sweden vs. Spain:  

  • Spain vs. Sweden: Spain -1.5 (+110)
  • Spain vs. Sweden over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Spain vs. Sweden money line: Spain -300, Sweden +700, Draw +300
  • ESP: Spain is 6-2-2 in its past 10, with a 23-9 advantage in goals
  • SWE: Sweden is 6-1-3 in its past 10, outscoring its opponents 15-8

Why you should back Spain

The Spaniards are winless in their past three against the Swedes, but they have dominated possession in each game. That has been the usual approach, and it hasn't been producing many goals as expected, but Spain has the talent to score any time. Spain held an astonishing 86 percent possession in June's draw with Sweden and had 75 percent possession in the loss in qualifying. The approach paid off Thursday, as Greece mustered one shot on net.

 Spain has won its past three qualifying matches by a combined 7-0, including a 4-0 win against Georgia. Alvaro Morata is expected to lead the attack in the absence of Ferran Torres and Mikel Oyarzabal. The 29-year-old has seven goals in 13 matches this season, and the players alongside him can find him in open space or score on their own. Those include Pablo Sarabia, who converted a penalty for the winner Thursday, Sergio Busquets, Pablo Fornals and Dani Olmo. 

Why you should back Sweden

The Swedes are eager to rebound from the shocking loss and will be desperate to avoid going to a qualifying playoff. Sweden has the confidence it can compete with Spain after the past two results, allowing one goal in the two matches. Sweden's attack features the dangerous trio of Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Alexander Isak and Emil Forsberg. Ibrahimoc, 40, was one of the world's best strikers for years, but he retired from international competition five years ago before returning in 2021. He has 62 goals in 119 international matches and 368 club goals in his career. 

Forsberg has six goals in 13 international matches this season, and Isak, 22, has three goals and two three assists in 16 games. The Swedes had scored at least once in eight games since their draw with Spain until being tripped up Thursday. They held the ball for 60 percent of the match with Georgia and had 20 shots, eight of them on target, but could not cash in. 

How to make Sweden vs. Spain picks

Green has analyzed Spain vs. Sweden from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also has three confident best bets and a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing those World Cup Qualifying picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Spain vs. Sweden? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Sweden vs. Spain, all from the European soccer expert who has generated well over $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.