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USATSI

The 15th-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks will try to end the dream run of the Texas A&M Aggies on Saturday when the teams meet in a 2022 SEC Tournament semifinal in Tampa. The Aggies (22-11) knocked off top-seeded Auburn 67-62 on Friday and have designs on an at least an at-large NCAA Tournament bid. They have won six straight games. The Razorbacks (25-7) had little trouble in a 79-67 rout of LSU in the other early game Friday, and they have won 15 of their last 17. Their two losses were by a combined five points -- a one-point loss to Alabama and a 78-74 setback to a Tennessee team it had beaten by 10 two weeks earlier.

Tipoff at Amalie Arena is set for 1 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Razorbacks as six-point favorites in the latest Texas A&M vs. Arkansas odds, and the over-under for total points scored is set at 138.5. Before locking in any Arkansas vs. Texas A&M picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Arkansas vs. Texas A&M and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model's college basketball picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Texas A&M vs. Arkansas:

  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas spread: Razorbacks -6
  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas over-under: 138.5 points
  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas money line: Aggies +210, Razorbacks -260
  • TAMU: It is 7-1 ATS in its past eight games.
  • ARJ: It has covered in 11 of its past 13

Why Arkansas can cover

Arkansas is 20-12 ATS this season, including 16-11 ATS as a favorite. It has wins against ranked Tennessee and Kentucky teams over the past month and also beat Auburn in overtime on Feb. 8 when the Tigers were the No. 1 team in the nation. The Razorbacks are fourth in the SEC and 40th in the nation in scoring (77.3 points per game) and outscore opponents by more than nine per game. The Aggies score 72.5 points per contest and have a scoring margin of plus-4.8. Arkansas is 13-6 ATS in conference games this season.

Guard JD Notae and forward Jaylin Williams are a dynamic duo for the Razorbacks, and both do a bit of everything. Notae is second in the SEC in scoring (18.9 per game) and is tied for the fourth-post made 3-pointers (67). Williams is second in the conference in rebounding (9.8 per game) and averages 10.8 points. Six Razorbacks score at least eight, with Stanley Umude (10.7) also a danger from outside, hitting 36 percent on his threes. Notae averages 2.2 steals, tied for most in the conference, while Williams blocks 1.7 shots.

Why Texas A&M can cover

Texas A&M is 5-2 ATS this season against ranked opponents. It has been on quite a run, and it has performed well against the Razorbacks in the two regular-season meetings. They won the first matchup 86-81 at home on Jan. 8 then pushed the rematch in Fayetteville to overtime before falling 76-73. The last matchup was virtually even, but the Aggies shot over 56 percent overall and above 42 on 3-pointers in the victory. Quenton Jackson had 29 points over the two meetings and is A&M's top scorer at 14.5 per game.

Jackson is part of a strong trio that includes Tyrece Radford (10.5 points per game) and forward Henry Coleman (11). Radford hit five of his six 3-point tries and scored 19 on Friday, while Coleman had 16 points and 10 rebounds. Jackson had 17 points and two blocks. He averages a team-best 1.7 steals, helping the Aggies ranked second in the SEC with 10.5 per game. A&M holds opponents to 42.4 percent shooting (113th in Division I), and Auburn shot just 30.4 percent Friday. The Aggies are 10-5 ATS this season as an underdog.

How to make Texas A&M vs. Arkansas picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 142 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arkansas vs. Texas A&M? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.