Duke vs. Virginia prediction, odds: 2022 college basketball picks, Feb. 7 best bets from proven model
SportsLine's model revealed its CBB picks and best bets for Virginia vs. Duke on Monday

The ninth-ranked Duke Blue Devils look to continue their dominance over the Virginia Cavaliers when they meet in ACC action on Monday night. The Blue Devils (19-3, 9-2), who are looking for their second consecutive win over Virginia, have gone 54-9 against the Cavaliers (14-9, 8-5) in games played at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Virginia is 47-39 against ranked opponents in the coach Tony Bennett era, including 0-1 this year. Five of the last seven games in the series have been decided by two points or less.
The game from Durham, N.C., is scheduled to tip off at 7 p.m. ET. Virginia is averaging 63.2 points per game, while Duke averages 80.7. The Blue Devils are 11.5-point favorites in the latest Virginia vs. Duke odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 128.5. Before making any Duke vs. Virginia picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. UVA, and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for UVA vs. Duke:
- Duke vs. Virginia spread: Duke -11.5
- Duke vs. Virginia over-under: 128.5 points
- Duke vs. Virginia money line: Duke -800, Virginia +550
- UVA: The Cavaliers are 12-4 against the spread in their last 16 Monday games
- DUKE: The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall
Why Duke can cover
Freshman guard Trevor Keels is off to a fast start to his career. In 19 games played, Keels is averaging 11.4 points, 3.5 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 1.8 steals per game. He has been even better at Cameron Indoor, averaging 12.4 points and 3.8 rebounds. In 20 minutes at North Carolina on Saturday, he scored 11 points and grabbed three rebounds. It was his 13th double-figure scoring game of the year. His best game of the season was in the 79-71 season-opening win over Kentucky on Nov. 9, when he scored 25 points. He scored 19 points in an 87-56 win over Elon on Dec. 18.
Sophomore center Mark Williams has reached double-figure scoring in 12 games this season, including five double-doubles. He had a 19-point, 11-rebound effort against North Carolina State on Jan. 12, and has scored in double digits in five of his last seven games. For the year, Williams is averaging 9.9 points, seven rebounds, 3.1 blocks and one assist per game. He is connecting on 69.9 percent of his field goals and 70 percent of his foul shots.
Why Virginia can cover
The Cavaliers are led by senior forward Jayden Gardner, who has a six-game double-figure scoring streak. The East Carolina transfer has 35 career double-doubles, including five with Virginia. Gardner is averaging 14.3 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, connecting on 52.4 percent of his shots from the floor. Gardner is on the Karl Malone Award watch list and is coming off a 12-point, seven-rebound and four-assist effort in Saturday's win over Miami, Fla.
Also powering Virginia is junior transfer guard Armaan Franklin, who is averaging 12.3 points, 2.8 rebounds, 1.7 assists and 1.2 steals per game. He is connecting on 41.7 percent of his field goals and 83 percent of his free throws. Franklin is averaging 12.8 points in ACC action and has scored 10 or more points in 11 ACC games. Against Miami, Fla., he scored a game-high 22 points and matched a career high with four steals.
How to make Virginia vs. Duke picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 137 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the model's picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Duke vs. Virginia? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $2,400 on its top-rated college basketball picks the last five years, and find out.















