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USATSI

The Champion Course at PGA National has been the host course for this event since 2007, providing plenty of data points heading into the 2022 Honda Classic. Many courses on tour have been adding yardage to compensate for long-ball hitters, but PGA National has lowered its yardage in recent years. There is water in play on 15 holes at PGA National, leading to the highest rate of double bogeys or worse of any course on the PGA Tour. Which golfers can you trust to avoid crooked numbers this weekend?

Rickie Fowler won this event in 2017 and finished in a tie for second place in 2019. However, Fowler is a 66-1 long shot in the latest 2022 Honda Classic odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Should Fowler be included in your 2022 Honda Classic bets, or should you look elsewhere on the PGA odds board for value? Before locking in your 2022 Honda Classic picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it's up almost $9,500 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

At the 2021 Open Championship, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. In addition, McClure's model was all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the Honda Classic 2022 field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2022 Honda Classic leaderboard.

The model's top 2022 Honda Classic predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2022 Honda Classic: Im, a two-time champion on the PGA Tour and the top favorite, stumbles and barely cracks the top-five. The 23-year-old has already secured a victory this season, finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Shriners Children's Open in October. He's also finished T-11 or better five times in 2021-22.

However, Im has struggled mightily with his putter this season, ranking 132nd in one-putt percentage (38.73), 121st in 3-putt avoidance (2.78) and 98th in total putting (220.4). In addition, Im has finished T-33 or worse in two of his last four starts on the PGA Tour, which doesn't bode well for his chances to win this week. He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the Honda Classic 2022 field.

Another surprise: Shane Lowry, a 25-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Lowry finished inside the top 20 on tour in strokes gained: around the green and strokes gained: tee to green last season. He has been able to navigate tough courses in the past, which led to a win at the 2019 Open Championship. None of the top 10 players in the world are making the trip to Florida for this event, providing a great opportunity for golfers such as Lowry.

He posted several notable finishes last season, coming in fourth place at the PGA Championship and in eighth place at the Players Championship. Those impressive results, plus his long odds, make him a strong value pick at the 2022 Honda Classic. 

How to make 2022 Honda Classic picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 25-1 or higher who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who will win the Honda Classic 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 Honda Classic leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed seven golf majors and is up almost $9,500 since the restart.

2022 Honda Classic odds

Sungjae Im +1400
Daniel Berger +1600
Joaquin Niemann +1800
Brooks Koepka +2000
Louis Oosthuizen +2000
Tommy Fleetwood +2200
Billy Horschel +2200
Shane Lowry +2500
Matthew Wolff +3300
Keith Mitchell +3300
Matt Jones +3300
Alex Noren +3500
Mito Pereira +4000
Brian Harman +4000
Patrick Reed +4000
Cameron Young +4500
Denny McCarthy +5000
Taylor Moore +5000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +5000
Mackenzie Hughes +5000
Jhonattan Vegas +5000
Gary Woodland +5000
Aaron Wise +5000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5000
Nicolai Hojgaard +5000
Russell Knox +5500
Ryan Palmer +6000
C.T. Pan +6000
Lee Westwood +6600
Ian Poulter +6600
Lucas Glover +6600
Chris Kirk +6600
Martin Kaymer +6600
Rickie Fowler +6600
Brendan Steele +8000
Aaron Rai +8000
Zach Johnson +8000
Lucas Herbert +8000
Charles Howell +8000
Michael Thompson +8000
Brendon Todd +8000
Taylor Pendrith +9000
Sam Ryder +9000
Dylan Frittelli +10000
Greyson Sigg +10000
Kevin Streelman +10000
Hudson Swafford +10000
Adam Svensson +10000
Stewart Cink +10000
Sepp Straka +10000
Garrick Higgo +10000
Nick Taylor +10000
Beau Hossler +10000
Padraig Harrington +12500
Charl Schwartzel +12500
Camilo Villegas +12500
Matthew NeSmith +12500
Mark Hubbard +12500
Henrik Stenson +12500
Patrick Rodgers +12500
Davis Riley +12500
Harry Higgs +12500
Chad Ramey +12500
Matthias Schwab +12500
Alex Smalley +12500
Satoshi Kodaira +15000
Adam Schenk +15000
Lee Hodges +15000
Hayden Buckley +15000
J.T. Poston +15000
Doug Ghim +15000
Kramer Hickok +15000
Doc Redman +15000
J.J. Spaun +15000
John Huh +15000
Rory Sabbatini +15000
Nate Lashley +15000
Danny Willett +15000
Vincent Whaley +17500
Stephan Jaeger +20000
Nick Hardy +20000
Brandon Hagy +20000
Sung-Hoon Kang +20000
Austin Smotherman +20000
Ryan Armour +20000
Robert Streb +20000
Trey Mullinax +20000
Kyle Stanley +20000
David Lipsky +20000
Hank Lebioda +20000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +25000
Brian Gay +25000
Roger Sloan +25000
Peter Uihlein +25000
Andrew Novak +25000
Tyler Duncan +25000
Dylan Wu +25000
Brian Stuard +25000
Jason Dufner +25000
Jimmy Walker +25000
Brice Garnett +25000
Kevin Tway +30000
Nick Watney +30000
Anirban Lahiri +30000
Luke Donald +30000
Austin Cook +30000
Wesley Bryan +30000
Paul Barjon +30000
Bill Haas +30000
Brandon Wu +30000
Justin Lower +30000
Bronson Burgoon +30000
Jared Wolfe +30000
Tyler McCumber +30000