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The New York Mets will celebrate both Jackie Robinson Day and their home opener when they square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the first game of a three-game series on Friday afternoon. One week into the season, the Mets (5-2) have opened up a two-game lead in the NL East. They are coming off a 9-6 victory over the Phillies on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks (2-4) are last in the NL West, two games behind every other team in the division. Chris Bassitt (1-0, 0.00 ERA) takes the mound for New York. He will square off against Arizona's Zach Davies (0-0, 3.60). 

First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. New York is a -240 money-line favorite (risk $240 to win $100) in the latest Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while Arizona is a +200 underdog. The over-under for total runs scored is eight. Before making any Diamondbacks vs. Mets picks, you need to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters Week 2 of the 2022 season on a 216-181 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks that dates back to last season, returning over $900 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Mets vs. Diamondbacks, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the MLB odds and trends for Diamondbacks vs. Mets:

  • Mets vs. Diamondbacks money line: New York -240, Arizona +200
  • Mets vs. Diamondbacks run line: Mets -1.5 (-115)
  • Mets vs. Diamondbacks over-under: 8 runs
  • NYM: Mets rank second in the majors in on-base percentage (.365).
  • ARI: Diamondbacks rank seventh in the majors in ERA (2.95).

Why you should back the Mets

Arizona has struggled at the plate so far this season. No team in the majors has been worse in batting average (.140), slugging (.246) and OPS (.532) than the Diamondbacks. They also are 28th in runs scored (15) and 23rd in home runs (five).

In addition, Bassitt was excellent in his first start of the season. Obtained from the A's via trade last month, Bassitt pitched six shutout innings while giving up just three hits and striking out eight in a 5-0 Mets victory over the Nationals on Saturday. He is 2-0 in his career against the Diamondbacks with a 3.63 ERA.

Why you should back the Diamondbacks

Arizona's pitching has been solid to start the season. The Diamondbacks have an ERA of 2.95, which ranks seventh in the majors. Their relievers have been even better, posting a 2.84 ERA. In two games against the Astros this week, Arizona limited the reigning AL champions to three earned runs and 14 hits across 19 innings.

By contrast, the Diamondbacks face a Mets bullpen that has struggled so far this season. New York's relievers have a 4.15 ERA, which ranks 24th in the majors, and already have blown two of three save opportunities. They also are allowing opponents to hit .242, which ranks 26th.

How to make Diamondbacks vs. Mets picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the run total, as the simulation suggests the teams will combine for 9.3 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Mets vs. Diamondbacks? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.