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Robert Hanashiro / USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will look to continue their recent home-field dominance over the Houston Astros when they meet in American League action on Thursday. The Yankees (16-14), who are 9-7 on their home field this season, are 6-2 in the last eight home games against Houston. The Astros (15-15), who are 8-8 on the road, are 5-5 over their past 10 games overall. New York is 7-3 in its last 10 games and will go for the three-game sweep.

The game will start at 1:05 p.m. ET from Yankee Stadium in New York. The Astros are fourth in MLB with a .253 team batting average, while the Yankees are 25th at .223. New York is a -195 favorite (risk $195 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Astros vs. Yankees odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is 7.5. Before finalizing any Yankees vs. Astros picks, check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, had a banner 2019 season, the league's last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. It is off to a profitable start in 2021, going 36-28 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through five weeks, returning almost $400. Anyone following it has seen huge rewards. 

Now, the model has dialed in on Yankees vs. Astros. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the MLB lines and trends for Astros vs. Yankees:

  • Astros vs. Yankees money line: Houston +175, New York -195
  • Astros vs. Yankees run line: New York -1.5 (+105)
  • Astros vs. Yankees over-under: 7.5 runs
  • HOU: Astros are 7-1 in their last eight Thursday games
  • NYY: The Yankees are 5-1 in their last six games with the over-under total set at 7.0-8.5

Why you should back the Yankees

Gerrit Cole (4-1, 1.43 ERA) will start for the Yankees. New York is looking to provide him with some more run support. After a slow start to the season, New York's bats are starting to wake up. Among those powering the Yankees offense is outfielder Aaron Judge, who is batting .265 with seven homers and 18 RBIs. Judge has hits in seven of his last 10 games, raising his average more than 20 points. Judge has had some success against Houston in his career with four doubles, three homers and five RBIs in 22 games.

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu has also been warming up, with hits in seven of his past eight games, raising his average 29 points to .279. He is 3-for-7 in the series with an RBI. He has 10 multi-hits on the season. In 25 career games against the Astros, LeMahieu is batting .269 with four doubles, one triple, two homers and 10 RBIs with a .427 slugging percentage. Giancarlo Stanton extended his hitting streak to 11 games on Wednesday. 

Why you should back the Astros

Right-hander Lance McCullers Jr. (2-1, 3.38 ERA) takes the hill for Houston. McCullers is coming off his best start of the season, holding Tampa Bay scoreless over seven innings with a season-high nine strikeouts. McCullers has allowed just six hits and two earned runs over the past 13 innings he's pitched. He has five walks and 14 strikeouts in that span. For the season, he is 2-0 on the road and is allowing opponents to hit just .152.

First baseman Yuli Gurriel is one of the Astros' leading hitters, batting .333 with four homers and 20 RBIs. He has 11 multi-hit games, including five over the past 11 games. He has a .418 on-base percentage and .528 slugging percentage. In 22 career games against New York, he is hitting .310 with six doubles, one triple, three homers and 14 RBIs.

How to make Astros vs. Yankees picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, as the teams combine for 9.2 runs in the simulations, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Astros vs. Yankees? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model off to a hot start in 2021.