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The Milwaukee Bucks (34-19) host the Denver Nuggets (36-17) in a cross-conference affair on Monday. This is the second and final regular season matchup between the two, and on Jan. 29 the Nuggets topped the Bucks 113-107. Milwaukee ranks second in the NBA in scoring offense (122.9 points per game), while Denver is sixth in scoring defense (111 points allowed per game). Khris Middleton (ankle) is out for Milwaukee, while Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (hamstring) is questionable for Denver.

Tipoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. Denver is a 1-point favorite in the latest Nuggets vs. Bucks odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 229.5. Before making any Bucks vs. Nuggets picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 55-35 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $1,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Nuggets. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Nuggets vs. Bucks:

  • Nuggets vs. Bucks spread: Denver -1
  • Nuggets vs. Bucks over/under 229.5 points
  • Nuggets vs. Bucks money line: Denver -113, Milwaukee -106
  • DEN: The Denver Nuggets have hit the game total Under in 54 of their last 86 games
  • MIL: The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H ML in 34 of their last 44 games at home 
  • Nuggets vs. Bucks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Nuggets can cover

Guard Jamal Murray is a fearless bucket-getter who provides scoring bursts due to his reliable jumper and soft touch around the rim. The Kentucky product averages 20.9 points and 6.6 assists per game. In the Feb. 8 win over the Lakers, Murray tallied 29 points and 11 assists.

Guard Christian Braun provides a spark off the bench for the Nuggets. Braun is athletic and has the ability to score in open space. The Kansas product totaled 13 points and three boards in his last game. Meanwhile, center Nikola Jokic always make plays in a variety of areas, and he's dished out at least seven assists in six straight games. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Bucks can cover

Forward Giannis Antetokounmpo is a virtually unstoppable playmaker for Milwaukee. The two-time MVP ranks third in the NBA in points (30.7), sixth in rebounds (11.2) and is 10th in field-goal percentage (60.7). On Feb. 6, Antetokounmpo totaled 34 points, 10 rebounds and six assists.

Guard Damian Lillard can pile up points in a variety of ways. Lillard has a sweet jumper to stretch the floor but also does a great job setting up his teammates. The eight-time All-Star averages 25 points, 6.8 assists and shoots 92% from the charity stripe. In his last outing, Lillard dropped 26 points and eight dimes. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Nuggets vs. Bucks picks

The model has simulated Bucks vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and is leaning Over on the total, projecting 237 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Nuggets, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 55-35 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.