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A pair of NBA championship contenders are set to square off on Monday when the Denver Nuggets host the Milwaukee Bucks at Ball Arena. Denver is 32-15 overall and 18-4 at home, while Milwaukee is 32-14 overall and 11-9 on the road. The Nuggets are coming off a 111-105 win over the Philadelphia 76ers, while the Bucks are looking to build off their 141-117 win over the New Orleans Pelicans. Both teams have won four of their last five games. Milwaukee is 18-28 and Denver is 19-26-2 against the spread this season. Giannis Antetokounmpo (undisclosed) is listed as probable, but will be a game-time decision.

Tip-off in Denver is at 9 p.m. ET. The Nuggets are favored by 4 points in the latest Nuggets vs. Bucks odds, and the over/under is 238.5 points. Before making any Nuggets vs. Bucks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 48-25 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Nuggets and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for the game:

  • Nuggets vs. Bucks spread: Nuggets -4
  • Nuggets vs. Bucks over/under: 238.5 points
  • Nuggets vs. Bucks money line: Nuggets: -172, Bucks: +145
  • Nuggets vs. Bucks picks: See picks here

What you need to know about the Nuggets

Last Saturday, Denver didn't have too much breathing room in their matchup against the 76ers, but they still walked away with a 111-105 win. The win was just what the Nuggets needed coming off of a 122-84 blowout loss to the Knicks in their prior matchup.The Nuggets' victory was a true team effort, with many players turning in solid performances. Perhaps the best among them was Nikola Jokic, who dropped a double-double on 26 points and 16 rebounds. 

Jokic continues to make a strong case to win his third career MVP award. The 28-year-old enters this matchup averaging 26.3 points, 12.0 rebounds, and 8.9 assists per game. Guard Jamal Murray has also played at a high level for Denver when he's been healthy, averaging 20.9 points, 6.5 assists, and 3.9 rebounds per game.  See which team to pick here.

What you need to know about the Bucks

Meanwhile, the oddsmakers set the bar high, but the Bucks and the Pelicans didn't disappoint and broke past the 243 point over/under on Saturday. Everything went Milwaukee's way against New Orleans as the Bucks made off with a 141-117 victory. The Bucks pushed the score to 112-87 by the end of the third, a deficit the Pelicans cut but never quite recovered from.

The Bucks' success was spearheaded by the efforts of Giannis Antetokounmpo, who dropped a double-double on 30 points and 12 rebounds, and Damian Lillard, who scored 26 points along with nine assists and six rebounds. The Bucks also have a strong core of role players led by forwards Bobby Portis (12.4 points, 6.7 rebounds) and Khris Middleton (14.9 points, 5.0 assists, 4.3 rebounds), and center Brook Lopez (13.0 points, 5.6 rebounds, 2.8 blocks). See which team to pick here.

How to make Nuggets vs. Bucks picks

The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Bucks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that hits in well over 60% of computer simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Nuggets, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nuggets vs. Bucks spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 48-25 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.