Nuggets vs. Magic odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, March 23 predictions from model on 91-53 roll
SportsLine's Projection Model simulated Magic vs. Nuggets 10,000 times

The Orlando Magic look to right the ship on Tuesday evening against the Denver Nuggets. Orlando has lost nine of the last 10 games, falling to 14-28 on the season. The Nuggets are red-hot, boasting an 8-2 record in the last 10, and Denver is 13-8 away from home in 2020-21. Terrence Ross (knee) and Mo Bamba (hamstring) are questionable to play for the Magic. Gary Harris (adductor) and Monte Morris (quad) are out for the Nuggets.
Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET in Orlando. The latest Nuggets vs. Magic odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Denver as a 7.5-point favorite, while the over-under is set at 217 points. Before making any Magic vs. Nuggets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned more than $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $1,200 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it enters Week 14 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 91-53 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Magic. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Magic vs. Nuggets:
- Nuggets vs. Magic spread: Nuggets -7.5
- Nuggets vs. Magic over-under: 217 points
- Nuggets vs. Magic money line: Nuggets -300, Magic +250
- DEN: The Nuggets are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
- ORL: The Magic are 11-10-1 against the spread in home games
Why the Nuggets can cover
Denver is led by a legitimate MVP candidate in Nikola Jokic. Jokic is averaging 27.2 points, 11.2 rebounds and 8.6 assists per game for the season, and he is converting 57 percent of his shots. Jokic is flanked by another budding star in Jamal Murray, who is averaging 21.1 points per game and shooting 41.1 percent from long distance. That duo keys a top-five overall offense, and the Nuggets are able to score effectively against any opponent.
Denver can also play a free-flowing style against an Orlando team that is in the bottom five of the NBA in forcing turnovers. From there, this matchup is favorable for Denver in that Orlando's offense is subpar. Orlando is 27th in the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring only 1.05 points per possession. Orlando is also the league's worst team in terms of shooting efficiency, and the Magic rank fourth-worst in the NBA in free throw creation.
Why the Magic can cover
Orlando can take solace in having a strong option to counteract Jokic with Nikola Vucevic. Vucevic, an All-Star selection this season, is averaging 24.6 points and 11.8 rebounds per game, while also connecting on 40.7 percent of his 3-pointers. He is the centerpiece of the team's offense, and the Magic are also very strong in taking care of the ball. Orlando commits a turnover on only 13.4 percent of possessions, and the Nuggets are merely an average defensive team.
On the opposite end, the Magic are the best defensive rebounding team in the league, allowing opponents to grab only 23.8 percent of their own misses. That also equates to a No. 1 mark in second-chance points allowed (10.6 per game), and Steve Clifford's team is excellent at preventing opponents from getting to the free throw line. Denver is third-worst in the NBA in free throw creation rate, and that is a key for Orlando in this matchup.
How to make Magic vs. Nuggets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 223 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Magic vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that on a roll on NBA picks.















