Colts vs. Dolphins odds, picks, how to watch, live stream: Model reveals 2021 Week 4 NFL predictions

Here's what channel to watch Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts, plus NFL picks and best bets

By CBS Sports Staff

Oct 3, 2021 at 11:31 am ET • 3 min read

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The Colts and Dolphins were divisional rivals for 32 years in the old AFC East before re-alignment in 2002. They will meet again on Sunday with both teams in desperate need of a win. Miami (1-2) has lost two straight after an opening win over the Patriots, while the Colts (0-3) have looked nothing like the playoff team they were last year.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The Dolphins are listed as 2.5-point favorites in the latest Colts vs. Dolphins odds at Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under is 42.5, which is the third-lowest on the Week 4 NFL schedule. Sunday's matchup can be seen live on CBS and, in select markets, streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan. Plus, you can stream the game on any device.

Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream, including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour, with no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start and include the NFL on CBS, so sign up now here.

How to watch Dolphins vs. Colts

Date: Sunday, Oct. 3
Time: 1 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Streaming: Paramount+

Week 4 NFL picks for Colts vs. Dolphins

Before you tune in to Sunday's Dolphins vs. Colts game, you need to see the picks from SportsLine's proven model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on an incredible 123-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Dolphins vs. Colts, the model is predicting Indianapolis (+2.5) to stay within the spread. Both teams have banged up quarterbacks with Carson Wentz' ankles limiting his mobility and Tua Tagovailoa's ribs keeping him on the sideline. But Wentz is playing through the pain while the Dolphins have turned to backup Jacoby Brissett, who hasn't thrown a touchdown pass since Week 14 of the 2019 season.

Brissett hasn't simply been riding the pine in the meantime as he's taken the majority of snaps in five games since then. He hasn't found the end zone on his last 195 NFL pass attempts but he does have three turnovers over that stretch. As for Miami's running game, it's failed to reach 80 rushing yards twice this season and the model has the Dolphins making it three out of four games they can't crack 80 on the ground.

On the other hand, Indianapolis is projected to go over 125 rushing yards, which would take some pressure off Wentz to make plays with his arm. With a proficient run game and a Colts defense that knows former Indy QB Brissett as well as anyone, the model has Indianapolis covering in well over 50 percent of simulations.