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USATSI

The Washington Commanders look to extend their unbeaten streak to five games when they host the NFC East-rival New York Giants on Sunday Night Football. Washington (7-5-1) has gone 3-0-1 over its last four contests and are coming off a bye after battling to a 20-20 tie at New York in Week 13. The Commanders have surged into the second wild-card position in the conference with a 6-1-1 stretch, while the Giants (7-5-1) have dropped into the third spot by going 1-4-1 in their last six contests.

Kickoff from FedExField is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Washington is a 4-point favorite in the latest Giants vs. Commanders odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 40.5. Before making any Commanders vs. Giants picks, you need to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 157-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model is also a sizzling 21-5 on straight-up NFL picks over the past two weeks.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Giants vs. Commanders and just locked in its picks and NFL predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines and trends for Commanders vs. Giants:

  • Giants vs. Commanders spread: Washington -4
  • Giants vs. Commanders over/under: 40.5 points
  • Giants vs. Commanders money line: Washington -210, New York +175
  • WAS: Commanders are 11-3-1 against the spread in QB Taylor Heinicke's last 15 starts
  • NYG: Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last four visits to Washington
  • Giants vs. Commanders picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Commanders can cover

Washington easily could be 8-0-1 over its last nine games as it surrendered a go-ahead touchdown with 1:03 remaining in a 21-17 loss to Tennessee in Week 5 and squandered a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter of its 20-17 setback against Minnesota four weeks later. The club let another 10-point advantage slip away at New York before Taylor Heinicke's 28-yard touchdown pass to rookie wideout Jahan Dotson with 1:45 left in the fourth helped earn the tie. The 22-year-old Dotson made a career-high five catches in that contest and finished with 54 receiving yards, his most since recording 59 at Detroit in his second NFL game.

Terry McLaurin posted his fourth 100-yard performance of the year in the first meeting with the Giants, hauling in eight passes for 105 yards and a touchdown. The 27-year-old has averaged 96.7 receiving yards in six career meetings with New York. See which team to pick here.

Why the Giants can cover 

New York has one of the most formidable ground attacks in the NFL, ranking sixth with an average of 147.6 rushing yards. Saquon Barkley is fourth in the league with 1,083 yards and needs 225 to break the career high he set as a rookie in 2018. The 25-year-old has averaged 91.2 rushing yards in six meetings with Washington and posted his career high against the club in 2019, when he gained 189 on 22 carries in a 41-35 overtime win.

Barkley ran for 63 yards and a touchdown versus the Commanders in Week 13 while Daniel Jones led the team with 71 yards. Jones is fifth among NFL quarterbacks with a career-high 548 yards on the ground and tied for fourth with five rushing TDs. Like Barkley, Jones also recorded a personal best against Washington as he threw five scoring passes in the OT victory in 2019. See which team to pick here.

How to make Giants vs. Commanders picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total, projecting 43 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Commanders vs. Giants on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Giants spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,000 on its NFL picks since 2017, and find out.