Jets vs. Jaguars player props, odds, Thursday Night Football picks: Trevor Lawrence under 1.5 touchdowns
SportsLine's model reveals the top NFL prop picks and NFL best bets for New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars on TNF
By
CBS Sports Staff
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2 min read
The Week 16 Thursday Night Football matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and New York Jets could serve as an eliminator game in regards to the NFL playoff picture. Both teams are currently on the outside looking in, so they'll need big performances out of quarterbacks Trevor Lawrence and Zach Wilson to remain in the playoff hunt. While Lawrence has progressed in his sophomore season, Wilson has not, and his inability to find the endzone sets up some appealing TNF NFL prop bets.
The latest NFL player props from Caesars Sportsbook have Wilson's passing touchdown bar at 0.5. Across 21 career starts, Wilson has more zero-touchdown games (11) than games with a passing score (10). Before betting any NFL props for Thursday Night Football, you need to see the Jaguars vs. Jets NFL prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 157-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. The model enters Week 16 with a 54-40 record on NFL prop picks this season, returning almost $1,000 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
With Jets vs. Jaguars on Thursday Night Football approaching, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong NFL bets. You can only see them here.
Top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars vs. Jets
After simulating Jets vs. Jaguars 10,000 times and examining the dozens of player props from Caesars Sportsbook, the model says Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence goes Under 1.5 passing touchdowns. Perhaps the biggest reason for the Jets being in playoff contention is because of the improvement of their pass defense, as after ranking 30th last season, New York is fourth this year against the pass. It has allowed just 13 passing touchdowns over 14 games, and just one team has allowed fewer passing scores than New York. You have to go back to Week 3 to find the last time a quarterback went Over 1.5 passing TDs against the Jets.
Apart from playing an elite pass defense, Lawrence will also have to deal with the elements. Double-digit winds, as well as rain, are forecasted for Thursday, and those factors generally deemphasize the pass and put more onus on the ground games. Twenty-two of Lawrence's 31 career starts, or 71%, have seen him go Under 1.5 passing TDs, and the model expects that trend to continue with him tossing 1.30 touchdowns on average. See more NFL props here.
How to make NFL player prop bets for New York vs. Jacksonville
In addition, the model says another star sails past his total and is predicting a plus-money NFL player prop to hit hard. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Jaguars vs. Jets NFL prop bets for Thursday Night Football.
Which Jets vs. Jaguars prop bets should you target for Thursday Night Football? And which yardage prop is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Jaguars vs. Jets props, all from the model that's up more than $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks.
