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The Houston Texans will take on the Cleveland Browns at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at FirstEnergy Stadium. Cleveland is 5-3 overall and 3-1 at home, while the Texans are 2-6 overall and 1-3 on the road. The Browns have lost two of their past three games. The Texans have lost two in a row. 

Cleveland is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Browns vs. Texans odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 47.5. Before making any Texans vs. Browns picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 16-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model also enters Week 10 on an incredible 112-74 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Browns vs. Texans. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Texans vs. Browns:

  • Browns vs. Texans spread: Browns -3.5
  • Browns vs. Texans over-under: 47.5 points
  • Browns vs. Texans money line: Cleveland -175, Houston 155

What you need to know about the Browns

Cleveland fell to Las Vegas 16-6 two weeks ago. The Browns have scored fewer than 10 points in two of their last three games. Baker Mayfield passed for 122 yards. He has two TD passes in four of his past five home games. Jarvis Landry led the team with four catches for 52 yards. The Browns are third worst in the league in passing yards per game, with only 204.3 on average. Kareem Hunt rushed for 66 yards. He has a TD in three of four home games this season. 

Nick Chubb has been out since Week 4 because of a knee injury, but could be activated to play in Week 10. Myles Garrett has a sack in six of his past seven games. Olivier Vernon had his first two sacks of the season in Week 8. The Browns have lost their last five meetings with the Texans and seven of 10 overall.    

What you need to know about the Texans

Meanwhile, Houston narrowly escaped with a victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars, 27-25. It took four tries, but Houston finally earned its first road win of the season. Deshaun Watson passed for two TDs and 281 yards on 32 attempts for a 109 rating including a 77-yard touchdown toss to Will Fuller. Watson became the fifth quarterback in NFL history with 275-plus yards and a 105-plus rating in five straight games.  

The Texans have registered the second fewest rushing yards per game in the NFL, having accrued only 87.6 on average. David Johnson suffered a concussion early in the win vs. Jacksonville and his status is uncertain for Week 10. Duke Johnson totaled 73 yards from scrimmage and scored his first rushing TD of the season in relief. Fuller led the team with five catches for 100 yards last week. He has a TD catch in six straight games, the longest active streak in NFL. Brandin Cooks has a TD catch in three of his past four games. 

How to make Texans vs. Browns picks

The model has simulated Browns vs. Texans 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning under on the total, and it has generated a spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Browns vs. Texans? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texans vs. Browns spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters Week 10 of the NFL season on an incredible 112-74 roll.