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The Atlanta Falcons will give rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder his first career start when they visit the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. Marcus Mariota had been the starter for Atlanta, but the Falcons have decided that it's time to get a look at the potential future of the franchise. The former Cincinnati Bearcat will take command of an offense that boasts promising offensive weapons but has been stuck in neutral for most of the season. Atlanta is coming off its bye and has had two weeks to prepare and New Orleans most recently lost an ugly 17-16 game to the Buccaneers. The Saints are 4-point favorites in the latest Week 15 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Which Week 15 NFL lines should you target with your Week 15 NFL bets? Before you make any Week 15 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 157-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model is also a sizzling 21-5 on straight-up NFL picks over the past two weeks. 

The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.  

Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 15. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 15 NFL picks at SportsLine.

Top Week 15 NFL picks

After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Dallas Cowboys (-4.5) to cover against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Dallas hasn't lost in a month, its last defeat coming at the hands of Green bay on Nov. 13. Two of the Cowboys wins since then have been blowouts, a 40-3 laugher in Minnesota against the Vikings and a 54-19 home win over the Colts.

The Cowboys are one of the best teams in the NFL and would be in first place in most other divisions. Dallas just happens to play in the same division as 12-1 Philadelphia. That is one reason the Cowboys are covering the spread in over 50% of simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.

How to make Week 15 NFL parlays

The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including a pair of underdogs that have a chance to win outright. You can only see the model's NFL Week 15 best bets and parlay at SportsLine. 

What are the model's top Week 15 NFL picks? And which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 15 NFL best bets from a model on a 157-113 run on its top-rated picks, and find out.