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The Miami (Ohio) RedHawks face the Fresno State Bulldogs in the 2025 Arizona Bowl on Saturday. Miami is coming off a 23-13 Mid-AAC Championship Game loss to Western Michigan, while Fresno State finished the regular season with a 41-14 win over San Jose State on Nov. 29. The RedHawks (7-6), who finished tied for second in the conference at 6-2, have won two of their last three games. The Bulldogs (8-4), who finished tied for fifth in the Mountain West at 5-3, have won three of their last four. Star Miami receiver Kam Perry has entered the transfer portal, but his status for this game is uncertain.

Kickoff from Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Ariz., is at 4:30 p.m. ET. This will be the first-ever meeting between the schools. The Bulldogs are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Miami vs. Fresno State odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 41.5 via SportsLine consensus. Before making any Fresno State vs. Miami picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

New users can target the DraftKings promo code, which offers $200 in bonus bets if your $5+ bet wins:

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is 31-19 on its top-rated college football money-line picks since the beginning of the 2024 season. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Miami vs. Fresno State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for Fresno State vs. Miami:

Miami vs. Fresno State spread

Fresno State -5.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Miami vs. Fresno State over/under

41.5 points

Miami vs. Fresno State money line 

Fresno State -209, Miami +173

Miami vs. Fresno State picks

See picks at SportsLine

Miami vs. Fresno State streaming 

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How to make Miami vs. Fresno State picks

After 10,000 simulations, SportsLine's model is going Over (41.5) on the total. The Over has hit in two of Miami's last three games, and in Fresno State's last game. T

The model has Miami quarterback Henry Hesson throwing for more than 185 yards and one touchdown, while Fresno State quarterback E.J. Warner throws for more than 200 yards and two scores. The teams are projected to combine for 46 points as the Over clears in nearly 60% of simulations.

The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. You can see the model's pick at SportsLine.  

So who wins Fresno State vs. Miami, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Miami vs. Fresno State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that's simulated this matcup 10,000 times, and find out.