Oklahoma vs. Baylor odds, line: 2021 college football picks, Week 11 predictions from model on 31-20 run

SportsLine's model just revealed its college football picks for Baylor vs. Oklahoma

The Baylor Bears seek their signature win of the 2021 college football season when they host the undefeated Oklahoma Sooners on Saturday. Baylor has lost seven straight in the series, but an upset Saturday would keep the Bears alive for a berth in the Big 12 title game and derail Oklahoma's playoff hopes. The Sooners (9-0, 6-0) need a quality win to improve from No. 8 in the College Football Playoff rankings and could find themselves in the coveted top four with a dominant victory over the No. 13-rated Bears (7-2, 4-2).

Kickoff is set for noon ET from McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas. The latest Baylor vs. Oklahoma odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Sooners as five-point favorites, down 1.5 points from the opening line. The over-under for total points is set at 62.5. Before making any Oklahoma vs. Baylor picks, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on a 31-20 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Oklahoma vs. Baylor and just locked in its coveted college football picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for Baylor vs. Oklahoma:

• Oklahoma vs. Baylor point spread: Oklahoma -5
• Oklahoma vs. Baylor over-under total: 62.5 points
• Oklahoma vs. Baylor money line: Oklahoma -210, Baylor +175
• OU: The Sooners are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games against opponents with winning records.
• BU: The Bears have covered the spread in their past five home games.

Why Oklahoma can cover

The emergence of junior running back Kennedy Brooks as a reliable playmaker has been an integral part of Oklahoma's resurgent offense. Brooks opted out of last season amid the pandemic and rejoined the team earlier this year in an open competition for playing time in the backfield. But he has established himself as the primary option and the numbers suggest he gets better as the season wears on and is reliable in crunch time.

In October, Brooks ran for 575 yards and six touchdowns, compared to 227 yards and three scores in September. What's more, he rushed for 286 yards and five scores in the fourth quarters of games this season, more production than in any other portion of the game. His second-highest output comes in the second quarter, with 199 yards and two touchdowns. 

Why Baylor can cover

Baylor's defensive personnel and scheme could provide an effective formula for slowing down the high-powered Oklahoma offense. Baylor coach Dave Aranda, while defensive coordinator at LSU, earned a reputation for designing game plans that mitigated the opponent's strength and he has done the same for the Bears this season.

In a conference known for passing offense, Aranda has built a defense that is capable and deep at the line of scrimmage and is effective in pressuring the quarterback without blitzing. The Bears also use various misdirection and pre-snap movement to disguise their intentions and they already have seen promising results.

In a 31-24 home win over Texas two weeks ago, Baylor allowed 14 first-quarter points but the defense settled down and dominated the majority of the rest of the way. Its varied looks limited the effectiveness of dual-threat quarterback Casey Thompson, who had an interception, was sacked twice and hurried four times. The Bears also held Texas running back Bijan Robinson, who was once a front-runner for the Heisman trophy, to 43 yards on 17 carries. 

How to make Baylor vs. Oklahoma picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 64 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Oklahoma vs. Baylor? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.