Amidst the endless cheat sheets, strategies and dollar values owners
will encounter, sometimes a successful draft comes down to sleepers.
Owners who landed Carson Palmer, Thomas Jones, Chris Cooley or Neil
Rackers last season can attest, sleepers can turn a mediocre team
into a contender and a good team in a champion.
Here's our list of 15 potential sleepers for 2006:
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Cedric Benson, RB, Chicago
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It's difficult to unseat a successful incumbent starter like Thomas
Jones (1,335 yards, nine TDs) in most cases, but Benson has a
legitimate chance to accomplish the feat. While he failed to make
an impact as a rookie, Benson should still be allowed a chance to
start due to his skills and in part because the Bears want a
return on their large financial investment in him. In fact, don't
be shocked if Benson is selected ahead of Jones in some
seasonal drafts.
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Reggie Brown, WR, Philadelphia
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Brown showed flashes of potential as a rookie and could be the
most explosive wide receiver on a roster devoid of a featured
wideout in the pass attack. He won't be able to replace the
statistical success of the departed Terrell Owens (Cowboys),
but Brown's status as the Eagles' top receiver should mean
countless opportunities in an offense that could throw around 60
percent of the time. Fantasy Footballers should consider him in
the middle to late rounds.
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Nate Burleson, WR, Seattle
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Burleson went from a potential sleeper into a bust last season in
Minnesota, as knee problems and an inconsistent level of
production from the quarterback position combined to spell his
statistical doom. Now in Seattle, Burleson will be in a far more
stable situation and could return to prominence in an offense that
fields a veteran field general in Matt Hasselbeck and
fellow wideout Darrell Jackson to draw the attention of the
top defensive backs.
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Mark Clayton, WR, Baltimore
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Clayton showed flashes of potential in the final five contests of
his rookie season with 24 receptions, 316 yards and two
touchdowns. While his overall numbers were not impressive, the
fact that he finished on a high note is a real positive and makes
Clayton a potential low-end sleeper candidate. With a veteran
quarterback in Steve McNair under center and an experienced
wideout in Derrick Mason as a mentor, Clayton could make
some serious noise.
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Michael Clayton, WR, Tampa Bay
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Clayton was a statistical monster as a rookie with 80 receptions,
1,193 yards and seven touchdowns, but injuries and the success of Joey
Galloway turned him from stud to dud in his sophomore season.
Now that he's back to 100 percent and headed into his third
season, Clayton will have a chance to re-emerge into a prominent
wideout in the pass attack for Jon Gruden and could become a
terrific bargain choice in the middle to late rounds of drafts.
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Ron Dayne, RB, Denver
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The Broncos released Mike Anderson (Ravens) in the
offseason and questions have surrounded Tatum Bell and his
skills as a featured back, so Dayne is a notable sleeper in an
offense that breeds 1,000-yard backs on a seasonal basis. The team
didn't choose a back in the draft and will head into the season
with Bell and Dayne, whose skills as a downhill runner mirror
Anderson and could make him the more attractive fit for Mike
Shanahan's purposes.
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Frank Gore, RB, San Francisco
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Despite the fact that he started one contest as a rookie, Gore
still led the 49ers with 608 yards on the ground and looked far
more effective than incumbent starter Kevan Barlow in the
offense. Furthermore, the presence of Norv Turner -- who has
coached such studs as Emmitt Smith, Stephen Davis, Ricky
Williams and LaMont Jordan -- turns Gore from a low-end
sleeper and into a back who has 1,000-yard potential in his second
pro season.
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Zach Hilton, TE, New Orleans
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Hilton came out of nowhere to produce 32 receptions and 373 yards
in the final eight contests of last season, which would project
out to an impressive 65 catches and 746 yards over a full
schedule. While he will have to compete with Ernie Conwell
and Mark Campbell, Hilton has the most potential of the
trio and could thrive under Sean Payton, whose offense has
produced great numbers for Jason Witten and Jeremy
Shockey in recent seasons.
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Cedric Houston, RB, N.Y. Jets
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Houston produced decent numbers in four starts as a rookie while Curtis
Martin and Derrick Blaylock were out due to injuries.
While both will return to 100 percent and be in the Jets'
backfield mix, Martin is 33 and on the downside of his career and
Blaylock has not been able to avoid injuries. Chances are he won't
open the regular season atop the depth chart, but Houston should
still see more than his share of opportunities to produce in the
offense.
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Vincent Jackson, WR, San Diego
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Jackson isn't one of the league's best-known athletes, but he's a
physical specimen at 6-foot-5 and 241 pounds and there's little
ahead of him on the depth chart. Aside from veteran Keenan
McCardell, the Chargers have a list of mediocre wideouts (
Eric Parker, Rashaun Woods, Kassim Osgood) who could all be
unseated should Jackson impressed his coaches in the preseason. He
might not even be drafted in most formats, but Jackson is one to
watch.
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Matt Jones, WR, Jacksonville
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The retirement of veteran Jimmy Smith increased the value of
Jaguars receivers across the board, but none more than Jones. A
former quarterback in college who showed some real potential in
his rookie season as a wideout at the pro level, Jones now has a
chance to be the team's most prominent choice in the pass attack
for Byron Leftwich. While he still needs to gain a bit more
experience at the position, the upside on Jones is high indeed for
this season.
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Jon Kitna, QB, Detroit
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Kitna is considered the favorite to open the regular season atop
the Lions' depth chart, and he'll be in line to produce some nice
stat lines in that position. The veteran has proven in the past
that he can find success as a starter -- he threw for 3,591 yards
and 26 touchdowns for Cincinnati in 2003 -- and the fact that
he'll be in an offense loaded with weapons and guided by
coordinator Mike Martz bodes well for Kitna's chances to become
prominent for owners.
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Chester Taylor, RB, Minnesota
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Taylor moved from a reserve role in Baltimore and into the top
spot on the depth chart in Minnesota, so his value as a prominent
sleeper is obvious. Brad Childress envisions a scenario where
Taylor touches the football 15-20 times each week as the team's
featured back, so a season with around 30 receptions, 1,300
all-purpose yards and five to seven total touchdowns is well
within reach. Don't be shocked when Taylor lands in the third to
fourth rounds.
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Roddy White, WR, Atlanta
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White showcased his impressive skills as a rookie to the tune of
446 yards and three touchdowns, and there's little reason to
believe he won't be able to improve upon those numbers in his
sophomore season. He could become quarterback Michael Vick's second
choice in the pass attack after Alge Crumpler -- especially
if Michael Jenkins can't claim the role -- so White is well
worth a late-round flier as a No. 4 receiver in leagues with
12-plus teams.
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Kellen Winslow, TE, Cleveland
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Injuries and an unfortunate motorcycle accident have made Winslow
a forgotten man at his position, but he's back to 100 percent and
remains a talented component in the Browns offense. The emergence
of other tight ends like Chris Cooley and L.J. Smith, not
to mention the expectations around rookie Vernon Davis, could
cause Winslow to slide into the middle to late rounds in drafts.
Should that come to fruition, Winslow could become an absolute
steal.
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